BTC — Spot, Futures & Market Structure October 29, 2026 Current BTC is trading around $79.77K (-1.64%). Yesterday, improving spot flows helped BTC recover above $80K. Today, the picture has weakened. Spot inflows remain positive on the 24H timeframe, but futures flows have turned negative and price has fallen back below $80K. Spot Flows 5m → -$416.12K 15m → +$927.71K 30m → +$6.81M 1H → +$3.61M 2H → -$1.22M 4H → -$56.90M 6H → -$42.20M 8H → -$3.49M 12H → +$110.93M 24H → +$125.80M 1W → -$240.49M Yesterday's 24H reading was +$201.79M. Daily inflows remain positive, but have declined by approximately 38%. The weekly reading is still negative, although less negative than yesterday. Futures Flows 5m → -$9.89M 15m → -$9.39M 30m → -$6.02M 1H → +$2.29M 2H → +$43.59M 4H → -$558.43M 6H → -$573.84M 8H → -$385.40M 12H → -$340.46M 24H → -$425.08M 1W → -$2.43B Yesterday's 24H reading was +$37.88M. This is a meaningful deterioration. Short-term inflows on the 1H–2H windows have not reversed the substantial 4H–12H outflows. Market Structure BTC has returned below $80K. Price remains below its 5-day, 10-day and 30-day moving averages. The 15-minute chart shows a sharp decline followed by limited stabilization near $79.8K. Futures CVD has weakened, while open interest has recovered from its recent intraday lows. This combination warrants caution, but does not establish the direction of newly opened positions. Interpretation Spot 24H → Positive, but weaker Spot 1W → Negative Futures 24H → Negative Futures 1W → Deeply negative Price → Below $80K Short-term momentum → Weak The main divergence is clear: Spot flows remain positive on the daily timeframe, while futures flows and price action have weakened. Exchange netflows alone do not establish directional buying or selling. Conclusion BTC needs to reclaim $80K and sustain strength above $80.5K–$81K to improve the immediate structure. Failure to stabilize around $79.5K–$79.8K would keep downside risk elevated. Yesterday's recovery was encouraging, but today's data does not yet confirm a sustained reversal. Not financial advice.
