How long will it take for Bitcoin to return to $126k? 🤔️️️️️️
It has been almost a year since the all-time high (ATH). Currently, the price is 34% below the peak, but it is already 43% above the July low of $58k. If we analyze the infographic above, which shows the relationship between the depth of the decline and the duration of the recovery, we can see the following:
🔘 Historically, after a drop of 50-55%, it has taken 60-230 days from the bottom to return to the previous ATH.
🔘 Approximately 114 days have passed since the July low.
🔘 If $58k was indeed the bottom, the historical recovery window falls between December 2026 and February 2027.
What are the possible scenarios?
🟢 Optimistic: A breakout above $95-$100k in November would accelerate the recovery, and BTC could reach a new ATH before the end of the year.
🟠 Moderate: Consolidation in the $85-$90k range, with a return to $126k in early 2027.
💭 For now, Bitcoin is close to the median line of the historical recovery model. The next few months will show whether the market can maintain this pace.
