
bitcoin:native Had a look at this monthly chart I created in October 2025. I have updated it but historically everything looks like it is repeating as usual, in many ways. The 2014 cycle had another tap on the lows - we can easily repeat that. Lower than what we have seen at $60k is unlikely but we can't rule anything out - especially with how markets look in trad-fi right now and the catalysts brewing globally. August 2028 would be an average time we could make new highs according to this pattern. Which does open up another year of this range before higher. We wouldn't expect to test $125k until mid 2028 if this timing rhymes again. And of course it is worth mentioning should this larger pattern and structure fail - Bitcoin would enter it's first major bear market since its inception, imo. It would be the first time it had retraced through previous highs twice without continuation - any other time we hit previous highs we went on to new highs. Where we go if that happens is anyones guess. But something tells me that the internet and everything on it will be tested heavily due to what is unfolding. So I am ruling nothing out at this stage. I'll come back to this one next year again. Until then - enjoy the show.
