bitcoin:native Had a look at this monthly chart I created in October 2025. I have updated it but historically everything looks like it is repeating as usual, in many ways. The 2014 cycle had another tap on the lows - we can easily repeat that. Lower than what we have seen at $60k is unlikely but we can't rule anything out - especially with how markets look in trad-fi right now and the catalysts brewing globally. August 2028 would be an average time we could make new highs according to this pattern. Which does open up another year of this range before higher. We wouldn't expect to test $125k until mid 2028 if this timing rhymes again. And of course it is worth mentioning should this larger pattern and structure fail - Bitcoin would enter it's first major bear market since its inception, imo. It would be the first time it had retraced through previous highs twice without continuation - any other time we hit previous highs we went on to new highs. Where we go if that happens is anyones guess. But something tells me that the internet and everything on it will be tested heavily due to what is unfolding. So I am ruling nothing out at this stage. I'll come back to this one next year again. Until then - enjoy the show.
And people are risking being 100% sidelined for a $10k discount, certain that we get $75k. Couldnt be me. What could possibly go wrong?
there are still people shorting for $75k and new lows today let that sink in
ripple:native The long term weekly view gives us two scenarios you should be prepared for, one far more likely than the other. The bear scenario - at this point mostly a pipe dream but lets entertain it anyway. You'd get 75c at best and it would likely take some heavy news and drama to get us there. I am in no way bearish but looking at the chart and how XRP has consolidated since 2018 - this is the trend. Do we touch that ascending trend line again? Possible but improbable. The likely scenario - higher next week and we test the $2 range - likely finding resistance at the bottom of the rectangle range we spent most of 2025 in. This would open the door for a longer consolidation between $1 and $2 - bears might get some resemblance of a dip then, but the bias is still up. Too many people confident they will get an entry whilst failing to admit they did get an entry, they just didn't take it. Markets can punish people hard in these moments - so lets see. I for one am hoping for lower for longer, I have serious small bag syndrome in that I never feel that I have enough and I want more time to stack. I have never felt more confident about XRP as an investment in my life. Anyone who feels similar should pray for down to stack more before the inevitable move to $5.30 - $6.50 comes. Close up of the weekly chart in the comments. Happy Sunday have a great day - will be getting on the UFC gambling soon. Lets go!
This is the exact scenario I have been hoping for and posting about since mid 2025 using the BTC.D chart. We can see a lower high from 2025 peaks ( unlikely imo), a retest of the previous 2 cycle tops ( likely) or where I have believed we go for a long time - a test of a shady descending trend line that has never been hit again since the initial fall from grace. Of course we may well head straight down from here and the rectangle breaks to the bottom side - but just remember how this chart moved when Bitcoin was moving up from 2023 to 2024. This is the same cycle. I expect another push higher for BTC and dominance. Alts should rise but mostly be frustrating as they were in 2024 when it was BTC only for a long time - we should see several continue to POP like we have with NEAR and QNT. I have always believed if you want an alt season you should want higher dominance first. This is - long term - the absolute best scenario for alt coin holders. Let's see how it plays out. The consolidation in this tight rectangle is a year old - you can rest assured which ever side it breaks out of will lead to an aggressive move. Looking forward to coming back to this post later.
Chart not going down again whilst feels like it's going down. Amazing tek this crypto stuff! Bears, what gives!? Wen discount?
The only perspective the vast majority should listen to. "Trillions or zero." There really will be no in between, and almost everyone will sell far too early. Zoom out.
Getting a bit frustrated here guys... Was promised a discount. The bears absolutely assured me I was getting one. What the fuck is going on? $BTC
Last October the market was certain we were heading to new highs. This October the market is certain we are going to new lows.