When will risk assets bottom? robinhood:0x117cc2133c37b721f49de2a7a74833232b3b4c0c robinhood:0xd5f3879160bc7c32ebb4dc785f8a4f505888de68 $IWM $HYPE solana:E4Ap4icMLwKot8rkkTbq5JkS5kZxt5XCE3yfxbzYBjHx $SOL etc Whether you invest in stocks or crypto, that should be a question in your head today after a hot CPI put everyone in de-risking mode! Charts look horrible and sentiment is just as bad. But there is always a silver lining to be found. Here is some historical context for when to get bullish again... The first half of October historically hasnt been that bad, but the second half typically hasnt been kind. Once we are through Oct, November usually shapes up to be the turning point and early bottom feeders are rewarded. This being a midterm election year, the average return from Nov - March over the past 20 years has been ~+5.6% as per below: 2006 - Nov 2006 thru Mar 2007 ~+3% 2010 - Nov 2010 thru Mar 2011 ~+12% 2014 - Nov 2014 thru Mar 2015 ~+2.5% 2018 - Nov 2018 thru Mar 2019 ~+4.4% 2022 - Nov 2022 thru Mar 2023 ~+6% Going further back, since 1942 the S&P 500 has been positive in EVERY midterm cycle from Nov of the midterm year thru June of the next year (21/21 times) with an avg gain of ~+16.6% over that 8-month window. So while no one can call the exact bottom, it will be wise to make a list and check it twice🎅- shopping for bargains should start very soon after the midterms in early Nov.