
$ETHA has been above the 50W SMA two Fridays in a row, the previous Friday, it closed a fat 7.1% above that. $ETHA & The 50-Week Moving Average Analysis Even though the 50-week MA confirmed the macro bull trend, the journey was incredibly volatile. Trend-followers had to stomach major pullbacks before and after the ATH was reached: 📌 Jul 2024 to Sep 2024: -33.0% (Peak $25.12 ➔ Trough $16.83) 📌 Dec 2024 to Apr 2025: -64.0% (Peak $30.77 ➔ Trough $11.07) (A massive shakeout!) 📌 Aug 2025 to Jun 2026: -67.9% (Peak $36.59 ➔ Trough $11.74) (Post-ATH macro reset) Takeaway: The 50-week MA kept you in the trade for the macro gain, but you had to endure brutal ~30% to ~68% drawdowns along the way to get there. Size expectations accordingly. My Next Move I will divide the final 1/3 of my capital into 4 parts, deploying 25% each Monday over 4 weeks. However, if at any point during those 4 weeks $ETHA closes below the 50W SMA on a daily basis, I will pause further deployments and re-evaluate the macro trend. Exit Cascade 🎯 Trim 1/2: On the first daily close under the 50-day SMA. 🎯 Trim 1/4: On the first daily close under the 200-day SMA. 🎯 Trim 1/4 (Final): Hard 15% trailing stop from the most recent 20-day (4-week) High, OR two consecutive weekly closes under the 50-week SMA (whichever comes first). Live a little! 🎯 Peel 8–10% on a parabolic +12% "God Candle" (recalibrated for ETH's higher beta), a new ATH, or when we hit the 3 Standard Deviation Resistance band (~$21.00). Then stop. Wait for structure. → The goal isn't to catch the exact top. → It's to stop getting fooled by the first dump. NFA. DYOR. #Ethereum #ETH #ETHA #Crypto #Trading
