Posts
avatar

$ETHA has been above the 50W SMA two Fridays in a row, the previous Friday, it closed a fat 7.1% above that. $ETHA & The 50-Week Moving Average Analysis Even though the 50-week MA confirmed the macro bull trend, the journey was incredibly volatile. Trend-followers had to stomach major pullbacks before and after the ATH was reached: 📌 Jul 2024 to Sep 2024: -33.0% (Peak $25.12 ➔ Trough $16.83) 📌 Dec 2024 to Apr 2025: -64.0% (Peak $30.77 ➔ Trough $11.07) (A massive shakeout!) 📌 Aug 2025 to Jun 2026: -67.9% (Peak $36.59 ➔ Trough $11.74) (Post-ATH macro reset) Takeaway: The 50-week MA kept you in the trade for the macro gain, but you had to endure brutal ~30% to ~68% drawdowns along the way to get there. Size expectations accordingly. My Next Move I will divide the final 1/3 of my capital into 4 parts, deploying 25% each Monday over 4 weeks. However, if at any point during those 4 weeks $ETHA closes below the 50W SMA on a daily basis, I will pause further deployments and re-evaluate the macro trend. Exit Cascade 🎯 Trim 1/2: On the first daily close under the 50-day SMA. 🎯 Trim 1/4: On the first daily close under the 200-day SMA. 🎯 Trim 1/4 (Final): Hard 15% trailing stop from the most recent 20-day (4-week) High, OR two consecutive weekly closes under the 50-week SMA (whichever comes first). Live a little! 🎯 Peel 8–10% on a parabolic +12% "God Candle" (recalibrated for ETH's higher beta), a new ATH, or when we hit the 3 Standard Deviation Resistance band (~$21.00). Then stop. Wait for structure. → The goal isn't to catch the exact top. → It's to stop getting fooled by the first dump. NFA. DYOR. #Ethereum #ETH #ETHA #Crypto #Trading

This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It may include third-party insights, sponsored content, or promotional material for which the creator may receive compensation. Nothing in this feed constitutes investment advice or a guarantee of returns. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and exercise caution before trading. We do not guarantee the accuracy of third-party information and are not liable for any losses incurred. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please refer to our Community Terms and Risk Disclosure Statement for details.

avatarPost your reply

Comment