
🏢 MAX ESTATES ₹5,305 Cr FY26 pre-sales. ₹1,578 Cr collections. ₹12,500 Cr sold & contracted revenue yet to be recognised. But PAT was only ₹15.7 Cr. So what are investors really buying? 🔎 The hidden earnings engine • ₹16,310 Cr unrecognised revenue from launched projects • Management estimates ₹4,250–4,900 Cr embedded PBT • Estate 128 & Estate 360 — 100% sold • Estate 361 — ₹1,704 Cr presales • Commercial portfolio — 100% occupied • ₹158 Cr FY26 lease rental income 🚨 The forensic catch FY26 operating cash flow: –₹616 Cr The business is rapidly consuming capital for construction and expansion. FY27 planned construction spend: ₹1,500+ Cr 🧩 New optionality • 84.7-acre Delhi land parcel • Estimated GDV: ₹10,000–12,000 Cr • Proposed Ghaziabad JDA: ₹2,500–3,000 Cr GDV • Strong pipeline across NCR ⚠️ What I’m watching Debt → collections → construction spend → project completion → realised cash profit. Also: • Material RPTs • Project-accounting judgements • Land approvals • Valuation • SPV complexity Bottom line: Max Estates is not an EPS story yet. It is a pre-sales → collections → execution → cash-profit conversion story. The next 6–8 quarters will tell us whether the enormous pipeline becomes real shareholder value. #MaxEstates #RealEstate #StockMarketIndia #FMQC #Nifty #Investing