Posts
avatar

Just FYI, the Updated Aug 26, 2026 date on the charts does not mean the velocity reading includes July or August activity. The latest observation is Q2 2026 at 1.415, covering April through June. That means the flattening was already visible by the end of June, before the September Fed hike, the newest diesel surge and most of the deterioration developing through Q3. Q3 will cover July through September, but the World Cup continuing into July likely gave nominal GDP a temporary lift through tourism, hotels, restaurants, transportation and entertainment spending. So if Q3 velocity still barely rises or turns lower despite that one time support, the signal becomes more important. Q4 should then be an even cleaner test once that boost disappears.

This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It may include third-party insights, sponsored content, or promotional material for which the creator may receive compensation. Nothing in this feed constitutes investment advice or a guarantee of returns. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and exercise caution before trading. We do not guarantee the accuracy of third-party information and are not liable for any losses incurred. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please refer to our Community Terms and Risk Disclosure Statement for details.

avatarPost your reply

Comment