Tonight at 9:15 PM, the U.S. Senate will hold a “now or never” vote on crypto 🕵️ Big accounts on X are acting like it’s “already passed.” But those putting money on the line are saying something else 👇 📉 Prediction markets had placed the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law this year at 35% on Sunday. Today, it’s between 16% and 19%. Why the sharp drop? 🧾 Republicans released a 635-page “final offer.” According to their own claims, it includes 126 amendments demanded by Democrats. Trump also accepted a provision requiring officials with major crypto holdings to divest or use blind trusts. 🙅 The Democratic side said “not enough” and sent a counteroffer tonight. ⚖️ Eighteen state attorneys general also urged senators to reject the text. The math is simple: 60 votes are needed; Republicans hold 53 seats. Senator Lummis’s statement is clear: if it doesn’t pass today, “it’s over, that’s it.” 🧨 Detective note 🧭 This vote does not pass the law—it only asks, “Shall we begin debate?” If it passes, the path opens; if it fails, the door to 2026 largely shuts. On top of that, tomorrow brings the Fed decision under Chair Warsh. Bitcoin is entering this dual event at the $77K level 👀 Do you think they’ll get 60 votes tonight? 👇 I’ll leave sources in the comments 👇 This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance.