The market is pretending this is an earnings tape, but it is an energy tape. Crude ripping on Strait of Hormuz strike headlines is dragging yields back to post-2008 highs while the Nasdaq leaks anyway, and that combo is the cleanest inflation stress signal you can get in real time. The real story is the policy box getting smaller: oil up, term premium up, growth down, and $SPY gets forced to reprice the entire discount rate stack. ⚠️🛢️
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