🔴 $AVAX SUPPLY-EVENT WATCH — RISK IS INCREASING! ⚠️🔥

$AVAX faces a scheduled token unlock, adding a potential supply catalyst while the broader crypto market remains near an important decision point.

That makes this a confirmation-only SHORT rather than a blind bearish bet.

⚡ PREMIUM SETUP

🔴 Direction: SHORT ON BREAKDOWN

🎯 EP: Breakdown + failed reclaim of intraday support

💰 TP1: First lower intraday support

💰 TP2: Next 4H demand zone

💰 TP3: Trail remaining position if momentum expands

🛑 SL: Above the failed-reclaim candle high

📊 ANALYSIS:

A token unlock alone does NOT guarantee a drop. The signal becomes valid only if price reacts bearishly and support breaks with selling pressure.

⚠️ Confirmation: Support breakdown followed by a failed reclaim.

❌ Invalidation: Price immediately reclaims support and holds above it.

THIS IS A REACTION TRADE — NO BREAKDOWN, NO ENTRY! 📉🔥

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