GM I’ve been waking up earlier lately, so I’ve switched to updating market conditions in the morning. Yesterday morning, when BTC broke above 61,500, I noted a rebound was likely—and it has since rebounded into the 63 range, peaking near 64,000 due to news-driven spikes. Among the strong altcoins we highlighted, $NEAR, $HYPE, and $WLD have rebounded well. Their respective resistance levels are around 2.2, 64, and 0.555. $LIT is still consolidating below the minor resistance at 1.44; the lowest acceptable pullback is to 1.2. $XLM has stabilized above 0.2 but hasn’t followed the broader market rebound, instead trading weakly above support. Interestingly, yesterday’s intra-day rally was led by major coins—those typically followed by market makers alongside Bitcoin, such as ETH and SOL. I won’t discuss ZEC. After dropping 50% in two days, I’ve blacklisted it. There’s also confirmed evidence it’s being manipulated by Chinese actors—I won’t touch it even if it rebounds. The weekly candle closed above 63,000, showing signs of sweeping lows and reclaiming the 63,000 level—a scenario distinct from late January/early February 2026 (see below). On smaller timeframes, the upper resistance for this rebound remains around 65,300. A breakout here could extend the rally further. Conservatively, I expect to see at least 65,300. Trader sentiment is once again divided. Optimists target a rebound up to 75,000; pessimists believe 63,000 is already the top of this rebound and further downside is coming. Logically, a weekly SFP shouldn’t only rebound 5–10%. But in terms of cycle timing, I believe we’re aligned with June 2022—so I don’t support a large rebound, creating a contradiction. I currently lean toward a single rebound to 65–66K, followed by prolonged consolidation between 60K and 66K. My stance remains conservative: if this week’s rebound breaks above 65–66K, then the potential high point and the final consolidation zone before a major shakeout will also shift (note: views updated in real time). This post is sponsored by #BCGAME | @bcgame @bcgamecoin
