$15M Polymarket Bet Sparks Major Dispute Over Strategy's Bitcoin Sale

A prediction market tied to whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin before May 31 is now under dispute after the company disclosed its first ever Bitcoin sale.

• Strategy reported selling 32 BTC between May 26–31

• The filing referenced activity "as of May 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET"

• "Yes" bettors say the sale clearly occurred before the deadline

• "No" bettors argue the sale wasn't publicly disclosed until June 1

What's at stake:

• Nearly $15M locked in the disputed market

• About $24.7M traded across related contracts

• UMA's optimistic oracle will make the final ruling

This isn't just about Bitcoin. It's a test of how decentralized prediction markets resolve real world ambiguity when on chain evidence, corporate filings, and market rules collide

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