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<p>The ECB just published a warning that connects two of the biggest risks in markets right now.

If AI disappoints on its promised returns, private credit - which has been funding buildout - becomes a major source of financial system stress.

They compared the $1.4trn US private credit market to the $1.5trn subprime mortgage market that triggered 2008. 

In its stress scenario: pension funds lose 5-6% of total assets. Insurers lose 4%. Banks barely feel it.

The risk isn't in the banks this time. It's in your retirement fund.</p>

The ECB just published a warning that connects two of the biggest risks in markets right now.
If AI disappoints on its promised returns, private credit - which has been funding buildout - becomes a major source of financial system stress.
They compared the $1.4trn US private credit market to the $1.5trn subprime mortgage market that triggered 2008. 
In its stress scenario: pension funds lose 5-6% of total assets. Insurers lose 4%. Banks barely feel it.
The risk isn't in the banks this time. It's

The ECB just published a warning that connects two of the biggest risks in markets right now. If AI disappoints on its promised returns, private credit - which has been funding buildout - becomes a major source of financial system stress. They compared the $1.4trn US private credit market to the $1.5trn subprime mortgage market that triggered 2008. In its stress scenario: pension funds lose 5-6% of total assets. Insurers lose 4%. Banks barely feel it. The risk isn't in the banks this time. It's in your retirement fund.

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