
Yesterday, BTC plummeted again—let’s analyze why: 1. U.S. Economic Data Black Swan Yesterday, the Fed released employment data: expectations were for an increase of 55,000 jobs, but the actual figure showed a decrease of 92,000. Markets now fear stagflation and economic slowdown, raising expectations of potential rate cuts. 2. Middle East Conflict Escalates—Short-Term Strike Becomes Long-Term Engagement Yesterday, Trump posted on Twitter that this strike is not a short-term deterrent, but aimed at regime change. This signals a prolonged conflict, not a brief one. The Strait of Hormuz is already saturated with oil stockpiles; if fighting continues, production will have to halt. Once halted, restarting oil production will take a very long time, making crude oil extremely difficult to secure. Global assets began withdrawing from risk assets—most notably, Asian markets saw a net outflow of 6% in just one day. 3. Fewer Rate Cuts Expected Previously, many analysts predicted two rate cuts this year; now, the forecast has been revised to just one. Crypto markets had just started showing signs of recovery—now it’s gone again 😭😭😭
