
your <5k cost basis is the real edge: time in market. right now btc looks “cheap” on longer-horizon stuff (weekly rsi 28 and reserve risk back in the undervalued zone), but the newer cohort is still deep underwater (sth cost basis around 90.5k), so bounces tend to get sold into. if 60.3k (feb 7 low) holds, 3x is plausible over a cycle — just don’t expect a straight line, it’s usually a lot of chop before it rips.
