Odaily 星球日報訊 各大投行預測美联储未來利率路徑,降息最早可能於 9 月啟動:
1. 美國富國銀行:仍預計美联储今年將進行兩次 25 個基點的降息,分別在九月和十二月。
2. 澳新銀行:美國聯邦儲備系統極有可能於今年第三季度重啟降息週期,最有可能在 9 月會議上。
3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points in September and December, and believes the likelihood of a rate hike this year is very low.
4. 美國銀行:經濟增長面臨的下行風險讓我們繼續預測美联储在今年晚些時候將降息 50 個基點。
5. 道明證券:到 9 月決議時,市場將累積足夠的證據,從而支持美聯儲重新向寬鬆週期逐步邁進。
6. Standard Chartered Bank: Once Wash's nomination is confirmed, the Federal Reserve is likely to shift its focus to revitalizing the sluggish labor market and resuming rate cuts.
7. Deutsche Bank: The Federal Reserve will ultimately be unable to resist pressure from the U.S. president in the medium to long term, potentially cutting rates for the first time by year-end and cutting twice more in 2027.
8. Danske Bank:預計美國聯邦儲備系統將在整個夏季維持利率不變,並最終於九月和十二月恢復降息。
9. 巴克莱銀行:如果通脹如預期回落,預計美國聯邦儲備系統將在 9 月前後獲得足夠信心開始放鬆政策。
10. ING: Still maintains the forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December.
11. 紐約梅隆銀行:在霍爾木茲海峽重新開放的前提之下,美國聯邦儲備系統將於第四季度進行兩次降息。(金十)
