BTC faces key support tests

Bitcoin跌破77,700美元短期买家成本基础,Wintermute警告若跌破76,800美元支撑位可能进一步下跌,持有1.01亿美元空单。

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DAILY $BTC UPDATE — NOVEMBER 3 📊 BTC is trading around $76.8K, and I still think the market has more liquidity to collect before we see a meaningful recovery. The daily structure continues to print lower highs, with price trading below the $80K–$81.2K supply zone. Here's what I'm watching: 🔴 $80K–$81.2K: Key resistance. A short-term bounce into this area followed by rejection is one possible scenario. 🟡 $74.9K: Equal lows and potential sell-side liquidity. A sweep below this level wouldn't surprise me. 🟢 $70.4K–$73K: My main demand zone. It overlaps the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around $72.1K, making it an important area to watch for a bullish reaction. My view: I'm not interested in chasing a random green candle here. I'd rather see a proper liquidity sweep, consolidation and confirmation before positioning for the next major move. Patience over FOMO. Avoid excessive leverage. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto

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🚨 BITCOIN FLIPPED FROM A DOWNTREND INTO A BULL MARKET STRUCTURE The 1W chart shows a textbook transition from lower lows into an expanding sequence of higher highs Traders panicking over this pullback are ignoring the structural shift on the higher timeframe The downtrend printed three lower lows before finding the cycle floor: > $126k Cycle Top -> Dump to $80k > $98k Lower High -> Flush to $60k > $82k Lower High -> Capitulation bottom at $57k The reversal flipped the script into higher timeframe expansion: • $87k Higher High -> Initial breakout above the accumulation range • $70k Higher Low -> Retest to clear late leverage before the next leg • $130k+ Higher High -> Parabolic expansion target for early 2027 The correction from $87k down toward $70k forms the first macro higher low of the new cycle Smart money will use this pullback to build heavy spot positions while retail expects another collapse to the lows I am DCAing into this zone to position for the run into six figures Follow the structural trend instead of trading timeline noise Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated

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Price Z-Score 200d shows a bearish divergence⚠️ in its internal structure which could drive #BTC price to $75k and below. In September, we identified correction signal for #Bitcoin after the indicator reached Overbought🔴 zone with a projected pullback to an initial target $78k down to support level at $71k — we are currently in middle of this move🤝

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Midterms are tomorrow. Here's the Bitcoin pattern almost nobody talks about 👇 Every Bitcoin bear market low of the last 3 cycles came within about 10 weeks of a midterm election: 2014 midterm: $178 low, 71 days after 2018 midterm: $3,237 low, 39 days after 2022 midterm: $15,787 low, 13 days after What came next, 12 months after each low: +141.6% +121.0% +126.9% This cycle broke the pattern. The low came early, a $58.6K daily close on June 30, about 4 months before the vote. Stocks have their own version. The S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every midterm since 1946. 20 for 20, average +14.4%. Three cycles is a small sample, and history is not a promise. But the midterm has been one of the most consistent turning points in this asset's history. No hype. No bias. Just data. 🤝🫡 bitcoin:native

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$BTC | Update (1H) Plan going perfectly so far. We pushed through the weekend liquidity and are now approaching the PWL / Untapped Liquidity region. Now, the important part is how price reacts around this low. Ideally, we want to see a quick wick below it, followed by a reversal back to the upside. If we lose this level, The Monthly FVG at 74.9k-72.9k will be next, which also happens to be the last line of defense for the bulls.

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🚨 I CALLED THIS BITCOIN PRICE ACTION IN MID-AUGUST Watch the clip. Back in August the roadmap was simple: Push up into the $81K–$88K range. Get rejected. Pull back and retest the moving averages going into the midterm elections. That's exactly what's playing out right now. The midterms are tomorrow and bitcoin:native is testing the bottom of the $83K–$77K zone, with the 21w EMA and 50w SMA right underneath at ~$76K–$75K. Nothing has changed. Holding $83K–$77K on 1D–1W closes keeps the higher-low structure intact. Weekly closes below $77K open $76K–$65K, which still keeps the structure intact, the same playbook as 2018–2019 and 2022–2023. 🤝🫡

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The US votes today. Every midterm since 2014 crashed Bitcoin. Here’s my full playbook. Every midterm crashed Bitcoin, but each crash got smaller: -61%, -52%, -26%. So this time I expect max -12%. I’m not waiting for the bottom. I’m already in. Average long: $80K. If we go lower, I keep adding. All-in zone: $76K–$68K. Same zone where whales are bidding. One year after the last 3 midterms, BTC was up 24%, 45% and 92%. From here, that’s $95K, $107.5K and $146K. Weekly close below $67K and I’m wrong.

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Bitcoin's chart just flashed a red signal — and it is not about price. CoinDesk reports the Guppy Multiple Moving Average has turned bearish: Bitcoin's price has dropped below both moving-average bundles, and the short-term bundle has slipped below the long-term one. The long-term lines are now squeezing together and starting to slope downward. That is the textbook shape of a trend losing its floor, not a single bad day. Bitcoin sits near $76,800, down about 1.8% on the day, after slipping below $77,000. A red GMMA does not call the bottom. It says the trend itself has flipped — and traders now wait for the chart to prove it wrong.

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🚨 $BTC MARKET WATCH Bitcoin is trading around $76.4K, down approximately 2.3% in 24 hours. The pressure: • ETF outflows • Leveraged liquidations • Weak broader market sentiment Important levels: Support: $76.4K–$76.5K Next downside zone: $75K Resistance: $78K–$79.5K Bulls need confirmation, not just a temporary bounce. No premature bottom calls. No chasing. Watch the reaction at support. 🔥 CashCalling™ Levels, not slogans.

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$BTC is down around 2% in the last 24 hours, with market sentiment remaining weak. ETF outflows, broader market uncertainty, and selling pressure continue to weigh on BTC. If $76K fails to hold, the next downside area to watch is $73K-$74K. However, reclaiming $78K-$80K could signal that buyers are returning. For now, the market remains cautious. Holding support is one thing, but a stronger recovery needs fresh buying demand.