Bitcoin valuation analysis

Bitwise Head of European Research André Dragosch estimates Bitcoin's fair value at $197,000 using trends in the global money supply.

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$ELA / USDT — SHORT 🛑


Entry Zone: 0.6300 – 0.6600

TP1: 0.5800

TP2: 0.5200

TP3: 0.4500

Stop Loss: 0.7000


ELA has gone parabolic with a massive +93% surge and is now showing severe overextension on the 4H chart. Volume is spiking as price hits local highs, signaling a high probability of aggressive profit-taking and a sharp bearish pullback.


‼️ Extreme volatility — keep your position size very small and strictly respect the stop loss.#Palantir Q3 2026 Earnings Beat Estimates: Revenue Jumps 96% on AI Demand #Bitcoin Below $80K: Glassnode Identifies Potential Local Bottom Signals in November 2026 #Bitcoin valuation analysis

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$XMR

The market is entering a phase where patience could become more important than excitement. That silence before the storm is something I cannot ignore.


While many traders focus only on the most popular coins, I am keeping XMR on my radar. Market conditions can change quickly when liquidity rotates, trading volume expands, and investors begin looking beyond the usual market leaders.


I am watching three important signals. First, whether trading volume begins increasing alongside price. Second, whether Bitcoin dominance starts shifting and creating opportunities for alternative assets. Third, whether large-wallet transfers reveal a change in market positioning.


XMR needs a convincing move from buyers before I consider a recovery confirmed.


My important support region is 590 to 575. If this area holds and price pushes through 620, the next potential targets become 650 and 675.


A breakdown below the support region would invalidate this bullish scenario.


EP: 606.84


TP: 650.00


SL: 575.00


I am not looking for random volatility. I am looking for a move with genuine participation, strong liquidity, and confirmation.


The market may be preparing for something bigger, and XMR deserves attention.


I’m ready for the move —


#Bitcoin valuation analysis

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$DOGE

Sometimes the market becomes so quiet that everyone starts questioning whether the next big move will ever arrive. But this is exactly when I start paying closer attention.


The silence before the storm feels different when liquidity begins moving and market participants start positioning for another opportunity.


DOGE remains firmly on my watchlist. It is a coin that can attract significant attention when market sentiment improves, but I want confirmation before getting excited about a potential breakout.


I am watching trading volume, Bitcoin dominance, capital rotation into alternative coins, and large-wallet activity. A meaningful increase in participation could help DOGE establish a stronger direction.


The 0.0720 to 0.0700 region is my important support area to monitor. If buyers defend this zone and reclaim 0.0760, the next potential levels are 0.0793 and 0.0820.


I do not want to chase a sudden pump. I want to see a confirmed move supported by volume and sustained buying pressure.


EP: 0.07412


TP: 0.07930


SL: 0.07040


DOGE has the potential to become exciting when sentiment turns, but risk management must come first.


The next move is worth watching, and I am staying prepared rather than impatient.


I’m ready for the move —


#Bitcoin valuation analysis

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$ARIA consolidating near support after a sharp bullish move. Strong momentum continues supporting current price action, with resistance near the next breakout zone.

EP

0.11600 – 0.11900

TP

0.12300

0.12700

0.13200

SL

0.11200

Price remains above a key support area despite recent volatility. A reclaim of nearby resistance could trigger expansion toward higher targets.

#Ethereum Proposes Post-Quantum PeerDAS and Variable-Size Blobs in New EIP-9999 Draft #Bitcoin valuation analysis

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$SUN

The silence before the storm feels different when a coin starts showing strength while much of the market is still under pressure. SUN is trading at 0.01559, up 2.49 percent in the last 24 hours.


That relative strength makes SUN worth watching. The next question is whether buyers can sustain the move, defend the recent price area, and push through nearby resistance with stronger trading volume.


I am watching for a continuation signal rather than assuming the rally will keep going. If volume expands and the broader altcoin market begins improving, SUN could have a more favorable environment for another move higher.


Bitcoin dominance and large-wallet activity are also worth monitoring. A shift in capital flows could help explain whether the current strength is part of a broader market rotation or an isolated move.


EP: 0.01559, illustrative entry reference.


TP: 0.01637, first continuation objective. A stronger breakout could bring 0.01715 into focus.


SL: 0.01497, illustrative risk limit.


These levels are illustrative calculations from the displayed price, not verified technical support or guaranteed targets.


SUN is one of the few coins in this screenshot holding positive daily momentum. Now I am watching whether that strength can turn into a sustained move.


No chasing, no guessing, just patience and confirmation.


I’m ready for the move —


#Hong Kong expands stablecoin trials

#Bitcoin valuation analysis

#Akash migrates to Solana

#Marvell acquires Lumentum

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$PIEVERSE

The silence before the storm feels different when a coin starts moving against the broader market. PIEVERSE is trading at 1.0944, up 4.81 percent in the last 24 hours.


This is the strongest daily performance among the ten coins shown in the screenshot. That makes it worth watching closely, but a positive daily move does not automatically mean the next rally has begun.


The important question is whether buyers can sustain the momentum. I am watching for continued volume expansion, a successful hold above the breakout area, and a clean recovery after any short-term pullback.


I also want to see whether this strength is part of a broader altcoin rotation. Changes in Bitcoin dominance, market-wide trading volume, and large-wallet activity could help explain whether capital is moving toward smaller tokens.


EP: 1.0944, illustrative entry reference.


TP: 1.1491, first continuation objective. A stronger breakout could bring 1.2038 into focus.


SL: 1.0506, illustrative risk limit.


These are illustrative planning levels based on the displayed price, not verified chart support or guaranteed targets.


PIEVERSE has the strongest momentum in this screenshot, but the next move still depends on confirmation. A disciplined approach means watching for a sustained breakout rather than chasing a green candle.


The market is giving us something to watch. Now the question is whether buyers can keep delivering.


I’m ready for the move —


#Marvell acquires Lumentum

#Akash migrates to Solana

#Hong Kong expands stablecoin trials

#Bitcoin valuation analysis

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$BTT

The silence before the storm feels powerful when a market is quiet but the next direction is still undecided. BTT is trading at 0.000000361, down 0.66 percent in the last 24 hours.


A small daily decline can look calm on the surface, but the next move depends on what happens around nearby support. I am watching whether BTT can hold its current price area and build enough buying pressure to challenge resistance.


Volume is the key signal to watch. A recovery supported by stronger trading activity would be more convincing than a quick price jump on thin volume. I am also watching Bitcoin dominance and broader altcoin momentum to understand whether the market is becoming more favorable for smaller-cap tokens.


Whale activity could add another layer of information, but large transactions alone do not establish whether buyers or sellers are in control.


EP: 0.000000361, illustrative entry reference.


TP: 0.000000379, first recovery objective. A stronger breakout could bring 0.000000397 into focus.


SL: 0.000000346, illustrative risk limit.


These are planning levels derived from the displayed price, not verified support levels or guaranteed outcomes.


The market is testing patience. I am waiting for buyers to show their strength before treating a recovery as a real opportunity.


BTT remains on my watchlist, and the next confirmation will matter.


I’m ready for the move —


#Mercado Bitcoin suspends deposits/withdrawals

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$VINE

The silence before the storm feels especially interesting when a coin starts showing signs of stabilization after a difficult session. VINE is trading at 0.00673, down 1.46 percent over the last 24 hours.


That decline does not tell the entire story. What matters next is whether sellers are losing momentum and whether buyers are prepared to defend the current price area.


I am watching VINE for a change in volume, a stronger recovery candle, and a clean move above nearby resistance. A breakout without meaningful trading activity can fade quickly, so confirmation matters more than excitement.


I also want to see whether capital is rotating into smaller altcoins. Bitcoin dominance, broader altcoin volume, and large-wallet transactions could help show whether VINE is attracting fresh attention or simply following the market.


EP: 0.00673, illustrative entry reference.


TP: 0.00707, first recovery objective. A stronger move could bring 0.00740 into focus.


SL: 0.00645, illustrative risk limit.


These levels are based on the screenshot price and are not verified technical support or resistance.


The opportunity is not in guessing the exact bottom. It is in waiting for the market to prove that buyers are returning.


VINE is on the radar. The next move needs confirmation, and risk management comes first.


I’m ready for the move —


#Akash migrates to Solana

#Bitcoin valuation analysis

#Marvell acquires Lumentum

#Hong Kong expands stablecoin trials

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$FET

The silence before the storm feels different when the market starts preparing for its next move. FET is trading at 0.1548, down 4.67 percent in the last 24 hours, but this is exactly the kind of moment when patience becomes more valuable than excitement.


Artificial Superintelligence Alliance is on my watchlist as the market begins searching for its next direction. I am watching whether selling pressure starts fading, whether buyers defend the recent lows, and whether trading volume expands as the price attempts to recover.


The next important signal is confirmation. If FET reclaims nearby resistance with stronger volume, a recovery could become much more interesting. If it loses support instead, I will not ignore the risk.


The bigger picture is also important. Bitcoin dominance, altcoin trading volume, and large-wallet activity could help reveal whether capital is returning to AI-related tokens or moving elsewhere. Those signals still need confirmation.


EP: 0.1548, illustrative entry reference.


TP: 0.1625, first recovery objective. A stronger breakout could open the way toward 0.1700.


SL: 0.1490, illustrative risk limit.


These are planning levels based on the displayed price, not verified chart support or guaranteed targets.


The market does not always announce its next move. Sometimes it builds quietly until the moment arrives.


I am watching the levels, respecting the risk, and waiting for confirmation.


I’m ready for the move —


#Hong Kong expands stablecoin trials

#Marvell acquires Lumentum

#Bitcoin valuation analysis

#Akash migrates to Solana