Bitcoin cycle analysis suggests bottom not yet reached
Three on-chain metrics show Bitcoin has not hit cycle lows yet. NUPL at 0.11, MVRV Z-Score at 0.22, and Puell Multiple at 0.51 remain above historical capitulation levels.
$KAS is one of the cleaner charts here.
Price bounced strongly from 0.0291 and is still holding above the breakout area. Even after the pullback, the structure has not fully broken.
As long as $KAS keeps defending 0.030–0.0297, bulls still have control of the bigger setup.
A reclaim above 0.0311 would confirm strength and open the door for the next leg higher.
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$WLD is down hard from 0.72, but the chart is now entering a key long-term value zone.
The short-term trend is still weak, but these deep retracements are where patient buyers usually start watching closely. If price holds near 0.38–0.43 and later reclaims 0.52, the recovery can become powerful.
Long-term bullish only gets stronger once $WLD stops making lower lows.
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#Bitcoin cycle analysis suggests bottom not yet reached
$ARB is extremely beaten down, but this is exactly where long-term reversal setups usually begin.
Price has been bleeding for weeks, and sentiment is likely near exhaustion. The chart is now reacting from the $0.071–$0.074 zone, which can become a major long-term demand area if bulls keep defending it.
The first bullish sign would be holding above the recent low and reclaiming $0.085. After that, $0.098 becomes the next key level to flip.
Long term, $ARB does not need to explode immediately. It just needs to stop making new lows and start building a clean base.
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#Bitcoin cycle analysis suggests bottom not yet reached
$RAIN still looks one of the cleaner long-term structures here.
Price moved strongly from the $0.0114 area and is now consolidating near the highs instead of giving back the entire move. That is usually a bullish sign because strong assets do not fully retrace after expansion.
The chart is holding near $0.0155 while the previous breakout range remains protected. If this consolidation continues, $RAIN can prepare for another attempt above $0.0162.
Long term, this looks more like strength holding near resistance than weakness.
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COOKIE looks like it is cooling after a major liquidity spike.
Price ran from the $0.00770 base all the way to $0.01087, then corrected back into the breakout zone. This kind of move often shakes out weak hands before the next attempt higher.
As long as $0.0081–$0.0083 holds, the structure still has a bullish recovery chance. A move back above $0.0087 could open the door for another retest of the upper range.
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#Bitcoin cycle analysis suggests bottom not yet reached
A notable $6.9K long liquidation at $8.58468 shows strong bearish pressure hitting leveraged longs. The key level to watch is $8.40. If buyers absorb selling here, price could recover toward $8.80. A decisive breakout above resistance may extend the move toward $9.10. If support fails, expect continued volatility and possible downside continuation.
Support: $8.40
Resistance: $8.80
Next Target: $9.10
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