$BTC 📈 We just swept a major low! OrderFlow shows lot's fresh shorts piling in for continuation lower, only to get absorbed and trapped as price fails to follow through - a failed breakdown with OrderFlow confirmation - exactly what we want to see a support! That prompted me to open a new long with very tight invalidation and high R:R. The strong potential R:R lets me keep risk very small while we’re still trading below the VAH. Let’s see if buyers step in with conviction and take control now, or if sellers start another attempt...

$BTC 📈 Not much to report… The next HTF setup remains the same: a sweep of the overall low ~$74,900 into the low aVWAP, failure to follow through lower, then a reclaim of the VAH to trigger the trade. Locally, I’m still holding lower-risk long exposure as long as the overall low holds and price remains above the VAH. https://t.co/hbcE5007h2

$BTC 📈 Price is sitting at crucial support - the range VAH. But flows remain unconvincing, and another sweep lower is very much on the table. The problem: there isn’t much room below before structure starts turning very bearish. Given the current flow, I’m watching for a sweep of the key low around $74,900 into the low aVWAP around $74,400. That would put price back inside value, where I want to see a fast, decisive rejection of lower prices, with fresh shorts getting absorbed below the VAH leaving us with a failed auction back into value. Only a clean rejection from the low aVWAP followed by a VAH reclaim, leaving shorts trapped below, activates the depicted long setup. No fast rejection, no VAH reclaim, and acceptance back inside value would open the door to a much deeper retracement, given the inefficiencies left below. No prediction, just preparation. Either the market shows me what I need to see, or there is no setup. https://t.co/tsxdfQ24yg

$BTC OrderFlow 📊 This is where watching OrderFlow can make all the difference. 👀 We’re back at crucial support - the VAH! To confirm support we want to see sellers lose the auction here: sellers put in the effort without getting the result. New shorts opening, but no follow-through lower. Passive buyers absorbing aggressive selling pressure, that’s real support. Instead, we’re seeing aggressive longs enter with very little upside follow-through. Buyers are just adding fresh liquidity to the downside for now. That’s not the response we want to see with price testing very key support. OrderFlow isn’t confirming real strength yet! Not ideal I have to say... https://t.co/liibNkNzwm

$BTC 📈 Back at the VAH… that wasn’t on my bingo card for today, but here we are 👀 This remains a crucial support level. I’m watching the reaction closely, though this kind of volatility makes it harder to get a clear read. https://t.co/J3w7ynI5ID

GM ☕️ $BTC hit my first level of interest around $77.5K. I didn’t get the reaction I wanted, so I stayed out for now. Next up is the range VAH around $76K, where the lower channel trendline lines up with a daily support level + daily nPOC. I want to see price sweep the most recent swing low into that zone. On the sweep, I’m watching OrderFlow for aggressive sellers opening new shorts. If they can’t push price lower and price reclaims the swept low, that confirms the failed breakdown. That’s where I’d take the long - SFP of Failed Auction Setup with trapped shorts. Shorts who entered below the low are then trapped. To cover they have to buy back at market, that adds buying pressure and can add fuel to the move higher. The sweep gets my attention. The long needs both pieces: sellers committing below the low and price reclaiming it despite that selling, showing sellers losing the auction. Sellers can get follow-through and push price lower. Price can also reclaim the swept low on a wave of aggressive new longs. Neither gives me the setup I’m looking for. I don’t need to call the next move. I wait for price and OrderFlow, then take the trade with my risk defined upfront! If my conditions aren’t met, I stay out. Where price goes next makes no difference to me. https://t.co/cq15ivPdBt

$BTC OrderFlow 📊 Buyers are getting absorbed at session VWAP, while sellers are getting absorbed at the daily session VAL. Neither side is getting rewarded for its aggression, and overall volume remains low. There is no clear directional signal here - just some intraday chop you do not want to touch! From an HTF perspective, we’re sitting at major support (VAH). And after such a sharp move down, I have no interest in chasing shorts. But until buyers show strength and reclaim session VWAP, a sweep of the intraday poor low, test of lower prices, remains very much on the table. For now, there’s nothing to do but wait for price to push beyond the daily range with intent, then assess the reaction. As outlined in my previous post, my next long setup remains the same: a break below daily session value and a sweep of the poor low, followed by a sharp reclaim. I want to see aggressive shorts try and fail to get downside follow-through and become trapped, confirming a failed breakdown (bullish confirmation). Until that sequence develops or buyers show real strength above session VWAP, I’m staying patient!

GM ☕️ Waiting for the NY-open now... I’m holding some long exposure while $BTC stays above VAH and the low AVWAP, looking to add if OrderFlow shows real strength. Acceptance back inside value would open the door to a much deeper move lower. https://t.co/oMafuoMWAw https://t.co/87V5dalRG9

GM ☕️ $BTC is holding mrVAL. The question now is whether buyers can regain control after an inefficient move lower and push price back toward mrPOC and mrVAH. So far, the bounce lacks conviction: little spot participation, with short covering rather than fresh buying driving the move ⚠️ Given the broader context however, the poorly structured highs left above, and the current R:R, I’m holding a very small sized swing long attempt. I’ll only add size if buyers show convincing strength. And I'm well prepared for this setup getting invalidated fast. If we lose mrVAL, my focus shifts to the previous range VAH, where I will look for a quick fakeout below the low to trigger a long (SFP). Acceptance back into prev. value would then shift my focus to the prev. VAL ~77K USD, as the next area of interest for a swing long.

$BTC 📈 If someone gives everything they’ve got to lift a weight and it still won’t budge a bit, what would you call them? That’s exactly what we have to call buyers right here! Buyers are trying to stop the car rolling downhill… so far, they’ve just joined it for the ride☠️ https://t.co/NOLmTIuPjB