As I've said several times, the core issue is that this proposal brings no meaningful users or liquidity.
The 1.53M transactions and the 18.2% are nothing more than projections. And these are simple record-keeping transactions that have nothing to do with users or liquidity.
Let me go through your claims one by one.
1. It's called an open-source public good, but only 28% of the budget (2.68M ADA) goes to reusable core infrastructure. 38% (3.65M ADA) goes to Telangana systems integration, testing and connectors, and the work package document says "state specific connector configurations are kept private." Put simply, every state that wants to use this public good will face the same integration cost again, and it'll end up back at the treasury.
If a single state government needs this, it should be built with government money. Even if the treasury funded the core, there's no reason for it to cover integration costs. And this model has never produced real revenue as a sold solution. The market moved past it long ago, and even a finished product won't set Cardano apart.
2. The processes needed for record-keeping come standard with any notarization system. When I said "record-keeping," I was describing the service at a high level, not saying things like identity binding or gap detection aren't needed.
Even so, the cost is way too high, it's not a compelling product in the market, and none of these mechanisms bring users or liquidity into the Cardano ecosystem.
3. The 1.53M transactions is a projection. What the contract actually guarantees is 390K over three months at M4. At that point the full 9.6M ADA has been paid out, and there's no obligation to sustain volume after that. The "+18.2%" figure is also calculated against the lowest possible baseline of about 700K a month. Against the last 12 months' average, it's around 13%. Projections shouldn't be presented as facts.
And again, these aren't transactions from active users, and they don't represent liquidity. They're simple transactions for posting records. One-dimensional transactions that don't directly contribute to the Cardano ecosystem.
4. The government pays nothing for development, and Trivolve collects the maintenance revenue. What comes back to the treasury is fees worth tens of thousands of ADA a year, plus an optional verification service starting at $1.89 per request. To recover $2.2M at the minimum price, you'd need 1.66M paid verifications, which is more than the annual transaction count.
If this project really benefits the government, the government should procure it. There's no direct contribution to the Cardano ecosystem.
And even if the project completes successfully, market demand isn't high enough for it to serve as a public good, and only 28% of the requested budget actually goes toward that public good.
In 2019, this might have been a model worth considering. But today there are far more important and attractive institutions and businesses that directly contribute to the ecosystem.
The Cardano treasury isn't deep enough to put this much money into an outdated model that doesn't directly contribute to the ecosystem.