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MisterSpread

Following0Followers (X)65.22KPosts206Likes9.59K
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Here's a little trading lesson for everyone reading, not just one person: 1. At 84k I said under 81k we likely tap 78k, and above 86k my bearish thesis is invalidated and I flip bullish. The replies I got were the usual "yeah it's going higher, you're just super bearish", with zero context and zero invalidation behind that stance. 2. At 80k I said under 78k we likely tap 75k, and above 83k my bearish thesis is invalidated and I flip bullish. Same replies again, same "it's going higher", same zero levels. 3. Today at 78k, we most likely see a bounce to the 80/81k area, and from there I will look to short again, IF we reject, targeting 75k again and even lower. Invalidation comes if we have a weekly close above the 82k area, which is the last lower high in this bearish short-term structure. You see the difference? I have a system and I follow price, which means I know exactly where I'm wrong and I'm ready to cut my losses and flip the moment those levels get triggered, while the replyguys just talk smack :D. So while some of you are busy fighting price while bitcoin:native dropped for 5 weeks straight, I'll keep following my system and stay bearish short-term until price tells me to flip. P.S: "It's going higher" or "it's going lower" isn't trader talk, it's just horoscope commentary. Traders have levels, commentators have opinions, big difference.

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Take profit touched on thorchain:native short for 3.5R GM, This was probably one of the easiest shorts I took in a while. I had no idea of what's going on with their chain but price was already showing the weakness, I just noticed my system was flashing big sell signals. The result? Another -16% drop from our entry for a 3.5R trade so we start the week in style Enable notifications, in less than 3 hours this week Substack Edition comes out 🫡 and if you like more setups like this but especially educational material check the link below:

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Corectia continua pe Bitcoin, Ethereum si altcoins? (23 de zile the outflows pe ETFurile ETH) GM, Este luni, si asta inseamna o noua editie a ParadigmShift Weekly pe substack. In editia de azi discutam despre Midterms in U.S, despre NFPul de Vineri dar si despre exitul de capital din ETFurile ETH si ce targeturi inferioare am pe bitcoin:native si ethereum:native pentru urmatoarele saptamani, linkul mai jos 👇

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Challenge your favorite bullish crypto influencer Next time someone tells you we’re already in a bull market, ask them one question: Which bull market had zero new USD stablecoins printed for 6 months straight, while $18B in USDT and USDC got redeemed? Call it a transition phase if you want, just don’t call it a bull run, not yet...happy to be proven wrong, show me the data.🫡

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Raspuns pe intelesul tuturor: Salut in primul rand, Nu stiu exact tot ce posteaza @Stefan_B_Trades , dar ce puteai sa iei din postarile alea, e sa nu intri in FOMO-ul agresiv care s-a impins pe aici in ultimele luni. Si ca sa iti raspund la intrebare: un semnal de top local nu inseamna sa vinzi tot in panica, inseamna sa nu mai adaugi pe varfuri, sa nu intri cu leverage, sa stii dinainte la ce nivel iesi daca gresesti si sa iei din profit pe drum. Daca ai cumparat sus, intrebarea nu e "vand acum?", ci "care e planul meu daca mai scade si care e daca revine?". Cat despre continutul meu, poate daca ai citi tot si m-ai urmari cum o faceai inainte, ai vedea ca scriu pe intelesul tuturor (probabil sunt printre cele mai bine explicate articole de pe aici, acopera o plaja foarte larga de subiecte si sunt scrise fara AI sau alte balarii). Problema e ca majoritatea la care faci referire nu vrea sa inteleaga piata, vrea sa dea tunuri si sa faca 10x peste noapte, iar daca cineva isi permite sa nu le confirme biasul, dau scroll mai departe (sau block, mai nou, lol). De asta va deranjeaza cand mai pun cate o "frana" si va spun ca altseasonul la care visati si care vi se tot promoveaza, mai are de asteptat. 🫡🤝

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Since August I’ve been saying the same thing The rallies off the lows on $BTC and $ETH left imbalances and air pockets behind. That was not a healthy structure and at least part of it had to get filled. The gaslighting was in full force, as I got told I missed the rally, while the same crowd kept pushing their FOMO agenda. What I actually said: be patient a little longer, don’t deploy all your funds yet, have a plan and stick to your risk management. 2 weeks ago I flagged a local top on ETH and said BTC usually lags 7-10 days to the downside. BTC 86k → 76k ETH 2,700 → 2,174 Price Action is KING 🫡

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Over $1,000 in prizes for the inverse ethereum:native chart challenge The chart I posted yesterday was ETH on the 1H, flipped upside down. No ticker, no price scale, nothing to lean on except structure. Why? Because most of the time we don’t read the chart, we read our bias. Put “ETH” on top and half the timeline has an opinion before looking at a single candle, but remove the name, invert it, and the only thing left is your framework. What you saw: higher lows pressing into flat resistance = a textbook ascending triangle. What it actually was: lower highs pressing into flat support around $2,300 area so was a descending triangle, the “bearish” pattern everyone expects to break down. Pattern names don’t move price, levels, reactions and invalidation do. I went through every reply and I have to say it: I love that the people following me are this educated and knowledgeable. Real levels, clear invalidation, people explaining the why, not just the call. Because were too many good answers to pick one winner, 34 of you get rewarded. Check the list below and DM me if you are one of the winners:

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Stopped out on the $SOL short at 101.65. Price reclaimed the neckline, the HnS is invalidated, and I'm flat. No moving the stop, no averaging in, if we get a daily close back below 100, I'll look at it again. Until then, nothing and waiting to see what we get pre/post FOMC 🫡

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Two weeks later the HnS on solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 triggered the short Entry: 100.12 StopLoss: 101.65 TakeProfit: 97 Pure market structure and Price Action, no 5 indicators, no 5 word salad terms 🫡 https://t.co/neHljn4v76