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Conviction Meta

Following0Followers (X)12.29KPosts342Likes1.99K
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Study 2017-18 BTC ‘Blocksize Wars’ & 2025-26 ‘Meme Launchpad Wars’ Both created PvP, fairness narratives, and speculation contributing to a bubble and eventual market volatility. Bitcoin Cash was a Bitcoin hard fork where BTC holders were rewarded a 1:1 airdrop of BCH. While HYPE airdrop, privacy outperforming, and meme metas recreating airdrop rewards are not a Bitcoin hard fork by any means, is the parallel still useful for comparing how ‘hype’ cycles and competing solutions affect Bitcoin price action on a HTF, or does treating modern ALT coins like 2017 forks overstate their structural impact? Food for thought and genuinely curious if anyone has an opinion.

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Volatility is inherently more bullish than chop. In any market, volatility is more opportunity-rich and constructive than chop, as it produces the directional price swings that create tradeable trends and breakouts. A combination of volatility and chop is usually the worst of both worlds.

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Offboarding Elon from crypto is about as smart as pumping a meme coin called USELESS to onboard more people

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While I do have higher price targets for $S on a HTF, I don’t think it’s a bad idea to TP on cybersecurity names on a lower time frame to reassess around the 200D https://t.co/vCOe449DP8

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My Bitcoin thesis will be correct in the end It’s already playing out on the timeline

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The main theme in crypto is celebrating price action on low time frames. If we only compared performance in the market on a high time frame, crypto participants would be made fun of. I still make fun of my past self for selling PLTR at $25 to invest thousands of hours and money into learning how to trade the market when I could have simply done nothing for 2000% gains in 5 years. The market is full of many different games and perceptions to consider in order to reach your goals.

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My algo might be broken, but my entire feed is the crypto space expressing confidence eroding due to PumpFun

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While majority have paid attention to price action recently, the SEC filed for “Regulation Crypto Assets” in August, even referencing the Securities Act of 1933 from my previous post. On October 21, the SEC closes public comments on its proposed rules after receiving about 140 submissions over the 60-day period. Whether this is bullish or bearish on low to high time frame is up for debate, but when does confidence erode?