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Shepard

Following0Followers (X)2.51KPosts307Likes3.62K
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$AVGO is back at $346 in premarket. That means all my DCA buys from the last 6 weeks are now in profit. I bought at $345, $340, $320 and $296. Every single buy was shared publicly right here on X. I called the exact same thing with Microsoft and Meta before. Now it's playing out again with Broadcom. It has never been this easy to make money with big, solid stocks this quickly. No small cap hunting. Only quality businesses, the right timing and some patience. That's all you need to be successful. Crazy time to be an investor. Btw, my last Broadcom chart analysis is aging well. Why are you still not following?

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Good morning, Investors. Yesterday the market got hit by hot inflation data. Today the AI trade is back. $CRWV just delivered. Revenue $3.66B. Up 168% year over year. Up 42% in a single quarter. Beat on revenue and on EPS. Nasdaq 100 futures are up 1.5% overnight. This is what AI demand looks like in real numbers. While others panic about one CPI print, the builders keep growing. Next week $NVDA reports on November 17 → the AI trade gets its biggest test. Stay bullish.

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Inflation is still not under control. Here is where the market is heading next. $QQQ is down 1.2% after a hot CPI print. The market expected inflation to cool. It didn’t. Headline CPI rose 0.4%. Expected was 0.3%. Core rose 0.3%. Expected was 0.2%. The market is pricing that in today. Yesterday’s green day shows it: the market doesn’t know where it wants to go yet. On the chart, price lost the 200 SMA at $681.40 again. The smaller trend is in a correction. Price can fall back to $660.11 and $646.19 without breaking the bigger uptrend. My main scenario is a few more percent down. The zone down to $635.72 comes into play. That is the top of the old range, the base of the last markup. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement lines up right at the same level. Not on my chart, but a nice confluence. From there I expect the next leg up. The alternative: if $635.72 doesn’t hold, the zone down to $596.14 opens up. That is the bottom of the old range. The bigger trend is intact. Macro and fundamentals are solid. I expect new all time highs in the coming months.

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I’ve been watching $RKLB for a long time. Yesterday’s earnings were a mixed bag. EPS came in at $-0.12. Expected was $-0.07. The net loss grew to $79.7M. And Neutron got delayed again. First launch now no earlier than 2027. But look under the hood. Revenue hit $267.8M. Up 73% year over year. The backlog reached a record $3.57B. And Rocket Lab sits on about $4.4B in cash. This is not a company running out of time. It’s a company that has time. The chart tells a different story for now. Rocket Lab retested the old support around $60. That zone is now resistance. Overnight trading shows a clear rejection at $54.45. My main scenario is bearish. The zone down to $43.82 comes into play. From there it’s a 50/50. Holding $43.82 opens the way back up. Losing it opens the zone down to $37.51. The stock also trades far below the 200 SMA at $78.72. Neutron is the next big catalyst. When it flies, Rocket Lab competes directly with SpaceX in medium lift. Follow for more.

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$IONQ is pushing after earnings. Up 10.6% today. Trading at $36.07. Price swept below the green line at $25.87 and closed back above it. The bigger trend is intact as long as $25.87 holds. Buyers defended it again. The smaller trend is still down. Lower highs since $47.61. Today’s bounce pushed back above $34.74. My main scenario is bullish. The zone up to the 200 SMA around $41.95 is now in play. Pullbacks along the way are normal. Price can fall back to $25.87 without breaking the structure. A reclaim of the red line at $47.61 flips the smaller trend. Then the zone above opens up.

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Good morning, Investors. $AMD is still more than 20% below its all time high. But look at what they reported last week: Revenue $13.4B. Up 45% year over year. Data center $8.5B. Up 97%. EPS $2.09. Up 74%. The chart says it all. Quarterly revenue went from $4.83B to a record $13.38B. That’s +177% in five years. And the guidance for Q4 is $17B → another record quarter. The business is accelerating. The stock is still at a discount. Yesterday it bounced 11.6% right off the 200 SMA. Smart money noticed. Today we get the US CPI data. A cooling print could be the fuel this market needs. Let’s get it.

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This week decides which path $AVGO takes. Friday closed at $293.69. Right at the green line at $294.98. Premarket is back above it at $302.39. The bold arrow played out. The break below $322.22 sent price straight into support. The grey arrow is invalidated. The stock trades far below the 200 SMA at around $367. The bigger trend is in a correction. Lower highs at $434.20 and $381.19. This is a 50/50 setup. Premarket leans to the upside. Holding $294.98 keeps the floor intact. Then the zone up to the red line at $381.19 comes into play. A daily close below $294.98 opens the zone further down. On the 4h chart, a reclaim of $351.97 would be the first sign the trend is turning positive. To make it sustainable, Broadcom needs to reclaim $381.19. That opens more upside. My last buy was at $296.

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If $BTC drops below $73,000, panic selling could follow. Short term holders are mostly back in loss. A break opens the way for a small sell cascade. But Bitcoin is correlating with the Nasdaq again. If $QQQ recovers, Bitcoin recovers. To break the short term downtrend, it needs to reclaim $80,000 quickly. Above $84,000, new local highs are back on the table. I’m watching the 200 SMA around $73,100. A retest of this line is typical after a bottom has formed. On Tuesday we get the US CPI data. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect +0.3% month over month, core +0.2%. That would mean inflation is cooling. Good news for our portfolios. This is where the next move gets decided. Follow for more.

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Hey @grok , prove me wrong if you can. My take: The current market selloff is a normal but harsh correction driven by overreaction. Are you bullish or bearish for the coming months? Pick a side.

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“The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy.” Sir John Templeton Here are 5 of the best stocks to buy right now: 1/ $AVGO Broadcom is down 10.6% this week and fell right into the $294.98 support. That’s exactly where I bought my last tranche at $296. The bullish path I drew before is invalidated. Marked it grey. The stock lost the $336.09 support and the bold arrow played out. In premarket it’s already bouncing back to $306. From here it’s a 50/50 setup. Holding $294.98 keeps the bigger uptrend intact. The stock can fall there without breaking it. Reclaiming $336.09 would bring $381.19 back into play. Losing $294.98 would open the door for a deeper correction. The 200 week moving average sits far below at around $213.