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ilay (aka VP)

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Even if $BTC moves up from here without taking out this low (which isn't valid on the 1D TF, time-wise) and reaches Kijun-sen, the SG signal remains valid. My understanding is that Chikou Span shouldn't reach the candles above (to invalidate the signal), and Kijun-sen should act as resistance. Plus, we have the KS42 pico-high time cycle (+2) ending today, marking the end of the window; and then KS33 + 17 (new pico high window, +-2)

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You know what's most frightening for the bulls? This volume spike on the 3D $BTC chart in early Nov'22. It slightly exceeded all the previous green spikes, but back then, it wasn't the end https://t.co/185HJ4rHJH

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In response to the scariest chart below, I’d say this is the most encouraging $BTC chart. With this “post-pandemic era” pattern (V-recovery stage), it looks like we may just see a marginal sweep of the low tomorrow (KS51 − 2 = 49), and that could be it for the bears Which one gets your vote? 🙂

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As you can see on the $BTC chart, Chikou Span ran into Kijun-sen acting as resistance and turned lower. A bearish SSA/SSB cross (future Kumo twist) has also appeared. Phase 2 of the Sanyaku Gyakuten signal remains valid on the 1D chart Back in May, phase 3 of the SG signal (the strongest bearish signal in Ichimoku - the downside breakout from the Kumo) allowed BTC to make a new HTF low in June/ July Now we'are watching to make sure Chikou Span doesn't touch the candlesticks above it (purple) Things are getting particularly intriguing 🙂

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How could $ETH take out its HTF low from June? Setting Time analysis below aside, a repeat of the 2025 scenario is possible. Back then, we had a clean Sanyaku Gyakuten (SG) signal on the 2D TF - the strongest bearish signal per Ichimoku. As you can see, once price action broke below the bullish Kumo, the dump followed For now, only Phase 1 of the three-phase SG sequence is complete: Phase 1: Bearish Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen cross Phase 2: Bearish Chikou Span cross Phase 3: Price breaks below the Kumo, completing the SG Invalidation conditions: Chikou Span touching the candlesticks after CS cross, and/or a bullish TK cross Let's see whether this plays out once again

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A new 3W candle opens tomorrow for BTC, with a bearish SSA/SSB cross (future Kumo) developing. Let’s see how much weight the future twist carries. As I wrote earlier, this is an HTF bearish signal suggesting that a bullish rally may be further away than many seem to think