Bitcoin is going to $200,000. Data says November midterm election panic is the best opportunity to buy BTC before the next parabolic move. In 2018, it did not matter if you bought Bitcoin at $6,000 or $3,200. It hit $69,000 in the next three years. In 2022, it did not make much difference if you bought at $21,000 or $16,000. It hit $126,000 in the next three years. The same idea applies in 2026. Buying BTC at $75,000 or $65,000 will not make a difference when it hits $200,000.
$ETH VS $BTC is in an interesting phase. It's stuck in a range, and a breakout up or down will define the market's momentum. I would assume we're getting the upward breakout, as I expect the market to outperform, but we'll need to wait for it. In between, there's no point in trading.
BITCOIN IS BOUNCING, BUT ARE THE BULLS REALLY BACK? bitcoin:native is hovering around $78,350 after buyers stepped in to defend the $76,400 support zone twice. That's encouraging, but there's still a major hurdle ahead. The 4H structure remains bearish, and Bitcoin hasn't reclaimed the level that could change the short-term outlook. Here's what matters next: $76,400 – The line bulls cannot afford to lose. A breakdown could bring the recent lows back into play and expose BTC to another leg down. $79,500 – The first real test. This was previous support, but it's now acting as resistance. Bulls need a convincing 4H close above it to show that selling pressure is fading. $83,500 – The next major obstacle. $87,000 – The bigger upside target if momentum returns. For now, this looks more like a relief bounce than a confirmed trend reversal. The real battle is at $79,500. Can buyers reclaim it and turn resistance back into support, or is this just another lower high before the next move down? Keep your eyes on the levels. The next 4H closes could tell a much bigger story.
FOMC TODAY: Bitcoin has rallied as much as 31% from its FOMC-day low to the peak of the subsequent rally in 2026. Here's how $BTC performed following previous Fed meetings: 🟢 September 16: +16% rally 🟢 July 29: +31% rally 🔴 June 17: −13% decline 🟢 April 29: +11% rally U.S. inflation hit 3.7% in September, while producer prices rose 6.3% year-over-year. The Fed is expected to HOLD interest rates today after September's hike, with markets watching closely for its next policy move.
You know what separates winners from everyone else? Winners stop waiting for the perfect setup and start executing on the good enough one. Everyone's holding cash waiting for $80K. Everyone's waiting for "clarity." Everyone's waiting for the Fed to tell them it's okay. Meanwhile the ones who actually made money this year? They moved when it was uncertain. They acted when it was foggy. They didn't wait for permission. The market doesn't reward people who wait. It rewards people who decided. What are you actually going to do today, or are you just going to watch someone else do it?