my service confirms the ethereum:native signal LONG here's why: > price is rising along with open interest (+1.31% over 24h), new positions are entering the market, supporting the trend’s continuation > long/short ratio - 1.066: shorts slightly outweigh longs, creating potential for a short squeeze > put/call oi ratio - 0.544: calls are in the lead, options point to a bullish outlook > eth is near the bottom of its 14 day range, leaving room for a recovery > order book: bid liquidity outweighs ask liquidity, $7.98m vs $3.02m risks: long liquidations ($12.68m) exceed short liquidations ($24.03m), which could increase pressure on buyers bottom line: ETH remains bullish my positioning terminal model shows a long bias at 56.3% versus 43.7% short this is just a model score, not the probability of a trade succeeding, so assess the risks yourself key resistance zone: $2,298–2,310 this is where we’ll test the buyers’ strength - LONG

a chart that can help us tell if it’s going to be a bull market the TGA is an indicator that helps us understand where liquidity in the market comes from the Treasury General Account is the us treasury’s account at the FED basically, it’s the us government’s savings account money moving in and out of this account affects the financial system’s liquidity > if the TGA goes up the government raises money, for example, by issuing bonds funds are moving from the private sector to the government’s account liquidity in the financial system could potentially decrease this could put pressure on bitcoin:native, stocks, and other risk assets > if the TGA declines the government spends its accumulated funds money is flowing back into the private sector, supporting bank liquidity this could be bullish for crypto and the stock market this is what we’re seeing right now the tga is nearing $1 trillion again this means a significant amount of money is sitting in a government account rather than the private sector if the tga starts declining steadily, it could provide additional support for the market if it keeps going up, liquidity could come under pressure right now we're waiting on two possible outcomes what are we waiting for next bullish scenario for bitcoin:native : > the TGA is starting to steadily decline > the treasury is spending its accumulated funds > the fed balance sheet isn’t shrinking too fast > bitcoin ETFs are showing steady inflows again > BTC is reclaiming key technical levels bearish scenario: > TGA keeps growing > the fed is shrinking its balance sheet > ETFs are seeing outflows > liquidity and risk appetite are getting worse i’ll leave the chart link in the comments

at one point i had 20+ ZAMA OG and sold them successfully after the pump to $30 i also kept 5 of them to hold forever as a tribute to the team and the project now i know i'll get an airdrop from @FungoLabs how many @zama OGs are still around here? https://t.co/DeoC5oherb

gold drops exactly when the market gets scared ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38 is traditionally seen as a safe haven so why is it being sold off during market panic? one possible explanation is a lack of liquidity when volatility spikes and margin requirements go up, investors need cash on hand even strong assets like gold have to be sold to cover losses on other positions this doesn't necessarily mean the long term bull trend is over key levels: > $4,100 - potential reversal confirmation > $4,300–4,350 - next resistance zone > $4,560–4,580 - main upside target > $5,000 - long-term target > $3,800–$3,850 is the nearest support zone if gold gets back above $4,100 and buyers show up again, we could see the price move higher

the bullish scenario is still possible for bitcoin:native Bitcoin is holding up well despite negative news and pressure across the whole market here are my bullish takes > whales keep accumulating BTC on the spot market > short term speculation and the crowd of longs have dropped noticeably > the skew toward shorts could fuel a sharp move up > a return of capital inflows into bitcoin etfs would be an additional bullish factor BTC is trading around $77,600 after losing the $80,177 level key levels: > $80,177 is the nearest resistance we need to reclaim > $82,000–82,500 is the next resistance zone > $86,000–88,000 is the upper zone of interest > $64,000–65,500 is an important previous accumulation zone > $60,070 is deeper support until btc reclaims $80,200, it’s way too early to call this a bullish trend but if spot demand recovers, etfs turn positive, and shorts start closing, a move to $85–90k could be very real over these two weeks, we’ll know for sure where the market is headed $80.2K is the level to watch

if we don’t see bitcoin:native rise and bounce back up in the next two weeks then something is going wrong and something has broken then we could see the price drop

seeing major platforms get hacked on the same day but it feels like the market is so exhausted that nobody cares anymore before, active coins would correct by 20% on negative news like this so this time, the moves were 3-5% down are we washed out?

I built Crypto Positioning Terminal an analytics service that shows where money is flowing in the crypto market, who’s building positions where liquidity is concentrated, and which way the market is leaning right now Instead of looking only at candles and indicators, the service pulls data from several parts of the market: > futures and spot: open interest, funding, long/short, liquidations, capital flows and order book > options: put/call, open interest, max pain and key price levels > hyperliquid: comparing positioning on DEXs and centralized exchanges > on-chain and ETFs: coin movements, exchange flows and institutional activity based on this data, the tool analyzes bitcoin:native, ethereum:native, and solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 it also finds 3 altcoins with the highest probability of a volatility expansion here’s what the tool shows you: > market direction: whether buyers or sellers have the edge, with an explanation of why > volatility thermometer: probability of a strong move in the next 4 hours IMPORTANT! Not the direction, just the expected size of the move > trading scenarios: entry conditions, two take profit targets, invalidation levels, and arguments for and against the trade > signal history: you can check how closely the forecasts matched the actual price movement Crypto Positioning Terminal doesn’t generate signals just for the sake of it if there isn’t enough data or the conditions aren’t met, the trading plan won’t appear it’s important to understand that this isn’t a trading bot this is a tool that helps make decisions based on market data the link to the service will be in the comments created with help from @SurfAIHQ #SurfStudio

the $BTC stop loss triggered at $80,443 watching from the sidelines for now I’m waiting for the $AMZN earnings report with a long position Amazon TP: $301 I expect a positive reaction following Microsoft’s excellent earnings report

waiting for major crypto assets to drop i think that’s the most likely outcome > ethereum:native is my top short candidate sellers are actively opening positions, price is dropping, and the crowd is still overloaded with longs a break below $2,281 could open the way to $2,200 and $2,150 > i’ll only short bitcoin:native once the breakdown is confirmed need a break below $79,180-79,200 target is $78,000, but price could get stuck around $80,000 because of options levels > solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 just watching from the sidelines real spot buying is absorbing the sell pressure, and the order book is tilted toward buyers the short looks weak without a break below $98.51 what do you think?