The $ETH/BTC chart is bleeding. Consensus says rotation.
But look at the perpetual funding rates. They're negative for ETH, positive for BTC.
Traders are paying to short ETH while longing BTC. This is a crowded, levered pair trade.
It snaps back violently. Soon.
The 2018 bear ended when BTC dominance peaked. We're there.
But this cycle's alt narrative is broken. No rotation into small caps.
Why? Institutions only buy blue-chip protocols now. Retail can't move markets alone.
The playbook changed.
ser, they never learn. shorts just got 2018'd for $400m. btc taps $69k, eth and sol follow. anon, the old playbook. pain for bears, pure signal. wagmi.
The entire market is focused on Bitcoin halving.
But this obscure chart shows a completely different story unfolding beneath the surface.
Let me explain:
Everyone thinks the halving is priced in.
But miner revenue hasn't decoupled from price. Hashprice is still at cycle lows. This is a supply shock, not a sentiment event.
If BTC doesn't break $80k within 90 days of the halving, I'll eat my hat.
Everyone thinks the halving pumps price.
But hashprice is the real metric. It’s down 30% post-halving. Miners are under pressure.
If hashprice doesn’t recover in 30 days, we see forced selling. Narrative flips.
Exchanges bleeding BTC again. Real anon accumulation, not paper hands. This is the quiet part before the chart goes vertical. Price consolidating cause they're loading the boat. Macro take but make it retarded: supply shock incoming. Wagmi.