Regarding another potential drop I recently mentioned to the 73,500 region—though I must admit this isn’t my base case—I’ve placed orders using my last 8% in stablecoins. The orders are for: $BTC - 73,500 ethereum:native - 2,160 ethereum:0xa27ec0006e59f245217ff08cd52a7e8b169e62d2 - 0.01377 $UNI - 6.55 $CC - 0.0976—here, I bought at market price instead of placing a limit order (I had trouble submitting the limit order). If the market doesn’t drop to these levels, I plan to use this capital to build long positions by riding the upward momentum. Are you preparing for further declines, or are you waiting for confirmation of a trend reversal? PS: This is not investment advice. The orders were placed this morning.

I warmly invite you to yesterday’s market analysis and my perspective. In it, I covered: the current sentiment the liquidation map as well as the levels I’m currently watching. Honestly, I invite you to take a look 😉

🌙 Good evening! After the birthday weekend, it’s time to get back to the charts. Yesterday, Bitcoin:NATIVE dropped to around $79,200, and once again, we saw a significant amount of liquidations. Due to being away from my computer, I didn’t react to the situation at the time. But what now? In my view, we’re currently experiencing wave 4 within wave C 🌊 on BTC and many altcoins. This suggests that the declines should resume and conclude next week. This could coincide with the FOMC meeting—so 📉 leading up to the FOMC, followed by a gentle sideways consolidation until the elections, then 📈. The sentiment index also supports further downside. We haven’t yet reached the extreme fear zones—I believe the market bottom will align with extremely 🔴 sentiment index readings. PS: The only thing I noticed is that during yesterday’s drop, my limit order for $UNI filled at $6.71—so I now have 66% of my allocated capital invested in this project.

According to some sentiment indicators, fear is currently prevailing. However, we still need a bit more to reach extreme fear 🔴, at which point we’ve often seen local bottoms during bull markets. Are you taking advantage of the current 📉? Lately, I’ve been actively using them: https://t.co/RmmJzOpUUm

🚨 Update Portfolio 🚨 It’s been a while since my last update, and the past few days have been extremely dynamic. 1️⃣ Yesterday, I closed the final portion of my ETH short position at $2,370. Including my earlier partial exit, this resulted in an overall loss of approximately 8%. At one point, the loss had reached 50% due to an incorrect assumption that the July lows would deepen. Precise entries around $2,750–$2,650 significantly improved the outcome. 2️⃣ ethereum:native – Yesterday and today, I bought ETH with 66% of the capital allocated to ETH in my portfolio. My current average purchase price is: $2,433. The remaining 33% of capital allocated to ETH has not yet been deployed—I want to observe the market today and over the weekend to identify an optimal entry level. Once I decide on a level, I’ll let you know. 3️⃣ bitcoin:native – Last night, I purchased my first batch of BTC at $82,420, using 33% of the total capital allocated for BTC. I haven’t yet finalized levels for further accumulation. When I have clear targets in mind, I’ll gladly share them. In this cycle, BTC itself will be a very small position—I plan to gain exposure to BTC primarily through $MSTR shares. I haven’t bought any shares yet; yesterday presented a good opportunity, but I wasn’t at my computer all day and didn’t place an order. Today, on a potential pullback from yesterday’s rally—or on any decline due to potential index exclusions—I plan to buy my first batch. 4️⃣ ethereum:0x7cf9a80db3b29ee8efe3710aadb7b95270572d47 – Yesterday, my final purchase order for the NIL token filled. This completes my accumulation of NIL at an average purchase price of $0.0846. 5️⃣ ethereum:0xa0b86991c6218b36c1d19d4a2e9eb0ce3606eb48 – Currently, USDC makes up 43% of my portfolio. I expect it to drop significantly in the coming days—by at least 15%. I plan to hold 10% in USDC as a buffer for unexpected or larger-than-anticipated declines, so I can deploy it quickly when opportunities arise. If I identify any asset becoming particularly attractive, I’ll use these funds to capture a few percentage points in gains. PS. I’m watching what’s happening with Talus and am currently observing—once I make a decision, I’ll let you know. Let me know what moves you’ve made over the past few days 💰 This is simply a personal log of my actions and does not constitute investment advice.

#DziedzicNews 1️⃣🇺🇦🇸🇦Escalation of attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East and Ukraine Houthi attacks on the Riyadh airport, strikes on oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia and the Strait of Hormuz, combined with Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, have heightened supply risks for crude oil. This directly intensifies inflationary pressures and supports a strong dollar, increasing uncertainty in global markets. 2️⃣💰The US dollar near an 18-month high The dollar index remains elevated due to higher interest rates, robust US economic growth, and demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical threats. Sustained USD strength could suppress risk assets and increase financing costs for emerging markets. 3️⃣🟠Bitcoin hovers around $81–84K ahead of CPI BTC rebounded from local lows below $81K but remains under pressure from high oil prices, a strong dollar, and outflows from ETFs, with key support in the $80–82K range. Inflation data could trigger sharp moves, potentially reinforcing or weakening expectations of further Fed tightening. 4️⃣🏦Awaiting key US September CPI data The release of consumer price inflation data today (October 14) is at the center of market attention, with forecasts pointing to a possible annual rise of around 3.6%. A hotter reading could strengthen the dollar and bond yields, while a cooler print could open the door to relief in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 5️⃣🇺🇦Starlink service restrictions in Ukraine Reports indicate connectivity limitations for Starlink terminals (particularly at higher speeds), disrupting Ukrainian operations during Russian missile strikes on Kyiv, with accusations of possible intervention by the Trump administration. This weakens Ukraine’s defensive capabilities and heightens tensions surrounding allied support. 6️⃣🇺🇸Trump’s comments on an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine President Trump announced progress in talks regarding an “energy ceasefire” and Russian diesel deliveries, temporarily easing pressure on oil prices. However, uncertainty over the agreement’s durability and ongoing attacks continue to sustain elevated volatility in commodity and risk markets. 7️⃣🟠Outflows from US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded outflows (including from IBIT), while Ethereum ETFs continued their streak of negative flows, signaling institutional caution. This limits demand support for crypto amid concurrent macro and geopolitical risks. 8️⃣🛢️High and volatile crude oil prices (Brent ~$105–107) Oil prices remain elevated due to infrastructure attacks and threats in the Strait of Hormuz, despite periodic relief. Sustained high levels increase inflationary risks and support a hawkish Fed stance, weighing on risk assets. 9️⃣🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukraine continues strikes on Russian refineries Attacks on Russian oil facilities (including in Rostov) further complicate global supply chains and undermine efforts at energy de-escalation. This sustains geopolitical risk premiums in oil and currency markets. 🔟🟠Crypto markets respond to macro-geo mix Liquidations and volatility in BTC/ETH stemmed from oil spikes and dollar strength, with partial rebounds triggered by signs of geopolitical relief. Further developments depend on today’s CPI data and potential escalations, which could prolong consolidation or trigger sharp moves. Market Sentiment: Bearish 🔴 Which of these 10 stories will most strongly impact markets? Share your opinion in the comments and follow us to track X trends in real time daily!

#DziedzicNews 1️⃣ 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Trump’s unverified announcement of an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine. U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social an immediate halt to attacks on energy infrastructure, yet neither Kyiv nor Moscow have confirmed any agreement, and Zelensky expressed surprise, stating readiness only under mutual reciprocity. The announcement triggered a roughly 2% drop in Brent crude prices toward $103 per barrel, potentially offering temporary inflationary relief—but the risk of renewed attacks continues to sustain high volatility in energy markets. 2️⃣ 🇸🇦 Escalation of Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian airports. The Houthi movement launched further strikes on King Khalid Airport in Riyadh and other facilities, resulting in casualties (deaths and hundreds injured) and airport closures, heightening the risk of broader conflict in the Middle East. These events sustain risk premiums on oil and may disrupt flows through critical straits, impacting global energy supply chains and regional stability. 3️⃣ 🔴 Anniversary of record crypto market liquidations exceeding $19 billion. During the night of October 10–11, 2025, the crypto market experienced its largest-ever liquidation wave (over $19 billion, ~1.6 million positions), triggered by fears of Trump’s 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and a rush into safe-haven assets. The event exposed leverage risks and thin liquidity; the subsequent partial recovery highlights the sector’s sensitivity to macro trade shocks. 4️⃣ 🇺🇸🇺🇦 U.S. pressure on Ukraine over attacks on Russian refineries. The Trump administration has threatened to restrict intelligence sharing and arms procurement mechanisms (PURL) if Kyiv does not cease strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, linked to a diesel deal with Russia. Such policy could weaken Ukraine’s offensive capabilities and shift war dynamics, while lowering global diesel prices—but increasing the risk of further escalation. 5️⃣ 🛢️ Oil prices decline despite geopolitical tensions. Oil prices fell following Trump’s ceasefire announcement, despite Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and tanker strikes, pushing Brent down to around $103. The effect may provide short-term inflationary relief, but persistent Middle East risks and uncertainty over Russian supply sustain volatility and influence Fed policy expectations. 6️⃣ 💰 Strong dollar and high U.S. bond yields ahead of CPI data. The dollar remains near 18-month highs (DXY ~102), while 10-year Treasury yields hover around 5.2–5.3% amid inflation and conflict concerns. Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could determine further Fed rate hikes (low odds for October, higher for December), increasing pressure on risk assets and global financing costs. 7️⃣ 🟢 Crypto market rebound with Bitcoin near $84,000. Following massive liquidations, Bitcoin rebounded toward $83–84K, with Ethereum also gaining, as market cap saw marginal growth. The recovery demonstrates resilience to panic, yet remains vulnerable to further macro shocks, Fed decisions, and geopolitical events—potentially limiting the sustainability of gains. 8️⃣ 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Criticism over easing sanctions on Russian diesel and accusations by U.S. senators. A group of senators accused the Trump administration of violating the 2022 law by permitting imports of Russian energy products without consulting Congress. This decision, tied to pressure on Ukraine, could boost Russian war revenues and spark political friction within the U.S., undermining long-term sanction stability and energy prices. 9️⃣ 🟡 Gold rises as a safe-haven asset. Gold gained on weaker oil and geopolitical uncertainty, reaching levels near $4,200 per ounce.This movement reflects demand for protection against inflation and the risk of escalating conflicts, which could support further gains if CPI data comes in higher than expected or tensions in the Middle East intensify. 🔟 Expectations for Fed rate hikes and macro data-related volatility. Markets are pricing in a low probability of a rate hike in October, but a higher likelihood in December, amid elevated yields and energy-driven inflation. Wednesday’s CPI release and subsequent Fed Chair comments could trigger strong moves across equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies, shaping global sentiment over the coming weeks. Market Sentiment: Neutral 🟠 Which of these 10 stories will hit markets the hardest? Share your opinion in the comments and follow us to track X trends in real time every day!

Yesterday, I began accumulating two more projects: ethereum:0x1f9840a85d5af5bf1d1762f925bdaddc4201f984 — I don’t think this one needs much introduction. The largest DEX on Ethereum, heavily focused on during the bear market by @BlackRock. The tokenization trend. ethereum:0x7cf9a80db3b29ee8efe3710aadb7b95270572d47 — A project aiming to address the lack of a decentralized AI capable of performing complex operations on encrypted data without first decrypting it. Collaborations with Meta and LINK. If you’re interested, I can prepare a detailed analysis of the NIL project in the coming days to introduce you to it.

🚨 The situation is developing rapidly. I’ve closed another portion of my short positions. At this time, 33% of the original position on Ethereum:Native and Bitcoin:Native has been closed. The total loss on these positions is currently around 12.5%. The next level where I’ll close an additional 33% is: BTC: $78,800 ETH: $2,360

Over the past two days, I had to travel around Poland searching for a car, so I simply couldn’t monitor the market. From what I can see, BTC and ETH are still relatively stagnant, waiting for a decision to be made. The situation is different at @Talus_Labs: first, there was a massive 📉 drop of over 50%, then yesterday a rebound of 25%, and now it’s holding relatively steady. Because I couldn’t monitor my positions for two days, I took no action—I didn’t sell or buy anything. I still hold the same amount. Right now, the only positive sign I see is a bullish divergence forming on the daily chart. I’ll calmly wait for the situation to develop.