#Altcoins / $ETH: Is a Base Forming for the Next Major Upswing? 🚀 This chart shows the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and stablecoins—Ethereum is included. We are therefore examining the altcoin market as a whole. At its current level, this market is valued at approximately $753 billion. My chart outlines a potential larger base formation followed by an upward trend. In the enlarged inset, you can see the market has once again returned to the green support zone of the drawn trendline. However, for an upward continuation, resistance levels must be overcome: first, the descending red boundary, and later, previous highs in the range of approximately $1.5–1.6 trillion. A sustained breakout above these highs would significantly strengthen the broader bullish scenario, making the projected path shown in the colored band—toward several trillion dollars—more plausible. The band is a projection. It provides no price guarantee or reliable timeline. If price falls below the most recent low of around $540 billion, I would need to reassess the assumed base formation. For me, the altcoin market remains compelling over the long term—but confirmation must come from the market. Even a rising overall market does not guarantee that every individual altcoin will benefit. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Act with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: Wave Ⓨ appears to be complete. Focus on the recovery toward $80,300–83,900 👀 BTC has retested the target zone between $77,248 and $75,447 and responded upward again after retesting the lower support line. This supports my assessment that Wave Ⓨ (pink) is likely now complete. I now favor a corrective recovery as Wave Ⓧ (pink) targeting the updated range of $80,300–83,900. The initial upward reaction aligns with this view; further price action must confirm the assumed wave completion. Overall, this recovery remains part of Wave (B) (green). Following this, my primary scenario anticipates another decline as Wave Ⓩ (pink) to complete Wave (B) (green) between $72,574 and $61,099. The larger rally toward $92,000–119,000 as Wave (C) (green) would follow only after this in my count. Thus, any short-term recovery remains part of the ongoing correction. As before: Above $84,867, I must re-evaluate the short-term count; above $87,400, the previously described alternative scenario becomes active. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$KAS / #Kaspa: Reaction in the target zone. A quarter of the supply recently moved between 3–4 cents 👀 KAS reacted upward within the expected range of $0.034 to $0.027, consistent with a possible completion of wave (2) (blue) within the active first alternative. However, a confirmed bottom formation is still pending. Here’s my updated on-chain analysis: The URPD distribution shows at which KAS price levels the tracked coins were last moved on the blockchain. Currently, approximately 6.95 billion KAS are concentrated in the $0.03–$0.04 range, accounting for 25.0% of the tracked supply. From October 30 to November 4, this holding increased by 282.1 million KAS, while the $0.04–$0.05 range lost around 136.6 million KAS. The distribution is thus becoming more concentrated between 3–4 cents. However, this includes internal wallet reallocations, which cannot be interpreted as confirmed buying or a definitive bottom. For my wave count, the critical level remains $0.025. If wave (2) (blue) completes successfully, a subsequent upward move as wave (3) (blue) remains possible. A break below $0.025 invalidates this count and raises the risk of further lows. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: Wave Ⓨ still within target zone. When will the rebound toward $84,000 follow? 👀 I continue to favor completion of wave Ⓨ (pink) between $77,248 and $75,447. BTC remains within this range on the current chart; however, merely reaching the target zone does not confirm completion. Once Ⓨ is complete, I expect a corrective rebound as wave Ⓧ (pink). The updated preliminary target zone is approximately $80,500–$83,900. This projection may be adjusted depending on where the final low forms. This counter-movement remains part of the larger wave (B) (green). Following this, I anticipate another decline as wave Ⓩ (pink) to complete wave (B) (green) in the range of $72,574–$61,099. The larger rally toward $92,000–$119,000 as wave (C) (green) begins in my primary scenario only after this. Therefore, the sequence of waves is critical. For the short-term count, unchanged: Above $84,867, I must re-evaluate; above $87,400, the previously described alternative scenario becomes active. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$KAS / #Kaspa: Broke $0.032. Now, holding $0.025 is critical. 👀 Unfortunately, KAS failed to defend the $0.032 level, activating my first alternative scenario. In this scenario, I expect wave (2) (blue) to complete between $0.034 and $0.027. The key is maintaining the $0.025 level. If a bottom forms, an upward move as wave (3) (blue) remains possible. However, simply reaching the target zone does not confirm a bottom by itself. If $0.025 breaks, this count becomes invalid, and a deeper correction with additional lows could follow. Let’s go! 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Act with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: Floptober is over. What historically followed in November? 👀 Bitcoin ended October 2026 with approximately −7%. This marks the fourth negative October in 14 years since 2013. The three prior instances show how differently prices behaved afterward: • 2014: October −12.95% ➡️ November +12.82% • 2018: October −3.83% ➡️ November −36.57% • 2025: October −3.69% ➡️ November −17.67% In one case, a recovery followed; in two cases, another month of losses. Particularly notable: In none of these three cases were the October losses fully recovered by the end of November. Even the strong rebound in 2014 fell just short—over both months, there remained a net loss of 1.79%. Therefore, November’s traditionally positive reputation is not a reliable indicator that Bitcoin will immediately rebound from a weak October. However, three historical cases are too few to form a reliable forecast. From “two declines out of three,” you cannot derive a definitive 67% probability of a red November in 2026. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Act with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: Why even a rally toward $119,000 fits within my correction scenario. 👀 Since there were some recent follow-up questions: My short-term updates show smaller impulse waves within the larger structure. The expected rebound toward $80,600–84,000 is still part of the ongoing wave (B) (green). Here’s how the movements connect within my primary scenario: 1.) After completion of wave Ⓨ (pink), I expect a recovery as wave Ⓧ (pink) toward $80,600–84,000. The completion of Ⓨ has not yet been confirmed; if a lower low forms, the projection will be adjusted. 2.) Next, in the primary scenario, wave Ⓩ (pink) unfolds downward. I anticipate the completion of the larger wave (B) (green) at $72,574–61,099. 3.) Following that, I favor a rally as wave (C) (green) toward $92,000–119,000, potentially accompanied by a brief altcoin season and strong FOMO. This move would complete corrective wave b (red). 4.) Subsequently, I expect a strong sell-off as wave c (red) toward $39,100–21,600 to complete wave (2) (white). For the current short-term count: Above $84,867, I must re-evaluate; above $87,400, the alternative scenario described here becomes active. The later wave (C), however, requires prior completion of wave (B). Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: First signs of stabilization within the target zone. Will a rebound toward $80,600–84,000 follow? 👀 Bitcoin has reached the target zone of $78,882–75,447 for wave Ⓨ (pink), as expected in the primary scenario. Early signs of stabilization are now emerging in this area. The current price reaction is consistent with a potential completion of this wave, though it has not yet been confirmed. Following its completion, I still favor a corrective rebound as wave Ⓧ (pink) toward $80,600–84,000. This target range remains provisional: if a lower low forms within the target zone, I will adjust the projection accordingly. Even a move up to $80,600–84,000 would remain consistent with the broader corrective scenario. After wave Ⓧ (pink) completes, I continue to favor a further downward move as wave Ⓩ (pink). Key levels remain clear: Above $84,867, I would need to re-evaluate the short-term count. Above $87,400, the alternative broader scenario would be activated. Let’s go! 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: First stabilization, then recovery? This could be the next move. 👀 BTC has reached the target zone of $78,882–75,447 for wave Ⓨ (pink). Next, I favor a stabilization phase, followed by a corrective rebound as wave Ⓧ (pink) toward $80,700–84,000. The completion of wave Ⓨ (pink) is not yet confirmed; the rebound target remains provisional. Following this, the primary scenario still allows for another downward move as wave Ⓩ (pink). Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Act with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital

$BTC / #Bitcoin: Extreme fear is still missing to complete wave Ⓨ (pink)? 👀 My sentiment model shows fear across all four timeframes, but values between 28 and 36 out of 100 points have not yet reached the “extreme fear” zone. I view this sentiment as a contrarian indicator: the stronger the pessimism becomes, the more interesting a potential counter-movement appears to me. This aligns with my Elliott Wave scenario: sentiment may continue to deteriorate further, with BTC completing wave Ⓨ (pink) within the target zone of $78,882–75,447. Extreme fear could therefore emerge only in the final phase of this downward move. After completion of wave Ⓨ (pink), I still favor a recovery as wave Ⓧ (pink) toward $80,700–84,000, where additional short liquidation potential lies. The target range remains dependent on the final low. Extreme fear would be an additional signal supporting a potential counter-movement, but not a mandatory requirement. Whether the downward wave truly ends must be confirmed by price structure. Let’s go 💪 Knowledge is wealth. Recognize trends. Trade with foresight. TSC | Trend Serra Capital