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Satoshi Stacker

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Fed expectations have shifted. The base case priced in by the market is now a 25 bps hike in December and then another 25 bps hike in March before a prolonged pause. This is a dovish shift from the previous base case of 75 bps of hikes through June 2027. https://t.co/kegvavsVZ9

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Two headlines injected new uncertainty into the AI trade on Friday. Here's why they matter: 1. Anthropic may receive a "high junk" credit rating after their IPO rather than "investment grade". So far, Anthropic has relied on massive borrowing to fund their compute buildout and training of new frontier models. A worse-than-expected credit rating could make it more expensive and difficult for them to continue borrowing like they have been. 2. OpenAI decreased the size of their latest funding round from $30B to $20B and lowered their target valuation from $1.4T to $1.25T. This is a clear sign of lower-than-expected demand for OpenAI before they even begin pursuing an IPO and is causing a re-evaluation of what valuations other AI companies should expect.

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BREAKING: Reddit $RDDT has crashed -30% in a day after having already dropped -20% leading into this move. This comes as Reddit has seen a sharp drop in referred traffic from google searches and the company is considering requiring all users to log in to access the site. https://t.co/EMMMF54PA7

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Leverage is being shaken out of the market with nearly $1.5B of positions liquidated over the past 24 hours. Sometimes we get a year's worth of events in a single day in crypto. https://t.co/7teuY3QeaM