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Divergent 🪙

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Last month, I shared my vision for $XPL in private. I expected it to return to $0.06-$0.05. Recently updated that vision. In recent days, $XPL did the first wave of that scenario with the bounce into my resistance zone (blue). Then the expected rejection followed. The $XPL Hyperliquid event came in handy at the right time. Odd coincidence.😏 Yesterday's event only confirmed my vision. 👍 The only question that remains is whether $XPL is going to slide down gradually and slowly, respecting my pink line as support and bounce area, or we have a brutal flush straight up to the blue TL. For now, I stick with the pink line that we held and respected a lot recently. In general, the remaining two months are crucial for $XPL. They will define whether it will have any future next year or not. The deeper it goes, the lower the upside target is gonna be for its potential rally. The lower we go, the fewer people who got in early (in 2025) will be able to get out at break-even.

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I feel satisfied with myself that I stuck with the plan and closed my $LIT long at the zone I planned (blue zone). Otherwise, all my profits would be wiped out. Good reminder to always stick to the plan; don't be greedy and cut off the euphoria and noise. During this dip, the Ultimate Trendline support was tested and held. I don't trust that daily candle anymore. It can be ignored, but it can mean something. I will look into today and will decide whether to sell my spot $LIT holding I bought yesterday (at $2.77) around $3.14-$3.20. It can go by the pink scenario. Potentially.

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$MON has been trading obediently to my Structural Line. As I always say, once we lost that line, each recovery is for the retest to continue the downtrend. Unless, ☝️ of course, we flip that Structural TL with strength and conviction. No matter how bullish it looked last month, today it's back to the macro scenario I expected much earlier. The macro formation reminds me of every altcoin that TGE'd in 2024-2025 and followed my macro formation. Reminds me of PLUME and RDNT post-TGE, which held in the range strongly for too long, but then gave up and went full toast. Of course, $MON is a stronger asset with more interest and more powerful hands, so I don't expect a similar annihilation, but the overall trend, considering potential monthly close, total supply, a huge unlock in a month, and the fact that this network is hardly relevant or used by people organically, makes me believe that on the macro scale, $MON needs to keep grinding. We can see a spike into unlock, as we saw on $XPL (follow my Unlock Scenarios Guide), but the further direction should be clear, imo. Just my thoughts for now. I think all the key inflection points are clear from the attached chart.

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A pleasant and fancy UI/UX is as important for a perps DEX as speed and reliability of execution for user retention. If you want to become the home of people's financial routine, make sure people want to come back to your platform and feel there comfier than anywhere else.

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That is why I, as an early supporter of @initia, after receiving the $INIT airdrop, selling it at the top and forecasting its downfall, with the intention to re-buy back once it bottoms, never returned to this idea and warned people in my tweets about all the red flags I saw post-TGE. 🚩 - The team actively pitched the network only before TGE. After that, silence. 🚩 - Most of the ecosystem projects that we're building on Initia either never went on Mainnet, or released their token on other chains. 🚩- Cosmos SDK downfall. 🚩- Team members started leaving. 🚩- The only products they were promoting on their network were the 90s-style dumb crypto games. 🚩 - Discord was about playing games, poker, and talking about football, beer, and other crap. 🚩 - CEO stopped talking about its network, ignored all the community questions and concerns. Started tweeting about other projects only. All the red flags you can spot in a potential slow rug were present in Initia. Take notes if you want to be able to spot potential future rugs in other projects. The only thing that was missing in this list of 🚩 is an unfortunate insider drain. The list is complete. 📋☑️ It Is Always Sunny only in the founder's pockets. @ItsAlwaysZonny

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Since majors lost their Kijun + SuperTrend support, all these spikes were for rejections at the 50MA resistance. Ethereum showed the way; $SOL followed; now $BTC. This is what I've been talking about since last week. https://t.co/UuvbJ2A5jj

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Crazy how the alts that were not taken care of by their teams enough during the last few months are ready to print new lows. I am glad that I didn't ape into $APT in previous weeks, no matter how bullish it looked. Alts that print dirty price action, not respecting key levels and support/resistance areas, usually are not worth it. Dirty price action = deceiving price action in 70% of the cases. Shitty management = shitty price action. Things you get when you double your total supply, destroy your own ecosystem of builders and products, and go suck institutional dicks. Well deserved. 👍 P.S.: Not an $APT investor. Quite the opposite.

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One thing I urged people in crypto to follow this year was the S&P 500. #SPX I even gave you all the levels and TLs needed to succeed. All the insights were there. 👍 https://t.co/YQpV9xCGJf