$65,300 of $BTC , the Air Force is already hype
BTC is now around $65,300, up 13% from the July low of $57,750, but it’s still 48% away from its all-time high of $126,200.
It’s down 25% this year, and down 45% over the past year.
Is it miserable? Miserable.
But open the candlestick chart and zoom out—BTC is doing something it has done at the end of every bear market over the past 10 years: consolidating at high levels and refusing to make new lows.
First thing: Mining pools went bankrupt, but that’s bullish.
You heard right. Poolin has filed for bankruptcy.
Retail traders react with: “Miners can’t hold on anymore, BTC is going to crash!”
Whenever miners exit at scale, it’s a bottoming zone for BTC.
In 2022, Core Scientific went bankrupt, and BTC rose from 16,000 to 30,000.
In 2024, multiple smaller mining operations shut down, and BTC rose from 39,000 to 73,000.
In 2026, Poolin goes down—so what do you think happens next?
Second thing: Big players are secretly accumulating, while retail is still panicking.
Over the past two weeks, big whales have accumulated about 270,000 BTC, with an average cost around $53,000.
From early July to today, BTC has risen from 57,750 to 65,300—who pulled this rebound?
SOPR (realized profit/loss ratio) has turned positive
Long-term holders are doing nothing—basically nobody is selling
Exchange BTC balances are steadily declining, meaning supply is shrinking
Third thing: The FOMC is coming, and rate-hike clouds are forming.
July 28–29: the FOMC meeting
Oil prices surged to $100, inflation persistence is above expectations, and rate-hike bets are rising
Tech stocks collapsed, with the Magnificent 7 sliding for consecutive days—yet BTC is holding around 65,000
This signal is very important
In the past, BTC moved up and down together with tech stocks; now they’re starting to decouple. Tech is down 3%, while BTC is down only 0.5%. BTC’s resilience is increasing, and capital is looking for a safe harbor
If the FOMC turns dovish, BTC could take off immediately. If it turns hawkish, BTC may retest 62,000–63,000 again
Key levels
Resistance overhead: 65,500–65,800 → 66,500–67,000 → 68,000–70,000
Support below: 64,000 → 62,800–63,000 → 61,000–62,000
For short-term traders:
Buy lightly on dips at 64,000–64,500, stop loss below 63,000, target 65,800–66,500.
For swing traders:
Accumulate in batches from 62,000–64,000, target 70,000+. If a stronger rate-hike expectation causes a breakdown below 62,000, then wait to add at 58,000–60,000.
For long-term believers:
Keep doing DCA. The smart money’s average cost is $53,000—if you buy at $65,000 now, you’re not paying much more than the whales. The year-end 2026 target range looks like 80,000–100,000
