POLYMARKET

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Polymarket is applying to offer parlay/express bets on contracts for sporting events in the US.


This concerns the introduction of parlay/express betting options within markets for sporting matches in the US.


#Polymarket #Sportsbettingapplication

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Polymarket showed an approximately 8.9% decline in trading volume in April.


Kalshi increased volumes by approximately 13% during the same month.


Overall, trading volume on prediction markets in April amounted to $29.8 billion—a 12.4% increase compared to the previous period.


#POLYMARKET #REDUCEDTRADING #KALSHIINCREASEDTRADINGVOLUMES

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A new study shows that only 3% of participants on Polymarket are experienced traders.


The remaining 97% of users essentially provide profits to these professionals—their money becomes a source of income for a small group.


Thus, the market is heavily skewed in favor of a narrow segment of skilled players, while the majority of participants effectively finance their success.


This is an important signal for anyone trading on such platforms: assess your risks and understanding of the market before entering positions.


#POLYMARKET

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The investigation uncovered key issues in the prediction markets of Polymarket and Kalshi.


Forecast accuracy: On U.S. elections, bets on Polymarket were correct 67% of the time, on Kalshi—78%. For comparison, the older platform PredictIt achieved 93%.


Insider trading: The report notes frequent leaks of confidential information regarding political and governmental events, rendering bets unfair.


Capital concentration: Approximately 70% of all profits are earned by just 0.04% of traders. New users lose more here than at traditional bookmakers.


Gambling bias: Up to 90% of Kalshi’s trading volume and about 40% of Polymarket’s volume are tied to sporting events.


Regulatory loopholes: Federal oversight via the CFTC allows platforms to bypass state taxes and avoid compliance with gambling protection requirements—this has already led to lawsuits from local authorities.


Conclusion: Questions regarding the fairness, profit distribution, and regulation of prediction markets remain unresolved.


#POLYMARKET #KALSHI

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Polymarket is preparing a protocol update and the launch of pUSD—a 100% USDC-backed ERC-20 token on the Polygon network.


The goal of the update is to reduce gas costs, decrease the number of failed transactions, and improve order management.


CTFv2 contracts are currently undergoing audit. The smart contract source code will be published next week, alongside the launch of a bug bounty program.


The changes are expected to enhance stability and reduce the cost of user interaction with the platform.


#POLYMARKET #pUSD

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Cryptoanalyst data showed: nearly 1% of Polymarket traders earned over $5,000 in a single month.


But only 0.1% replicated this result the following month.


And even fewer—just 0.015%—managed to maintain income at this level for four consecutive months.


Conclusion: consistent large profits on Polymarket are rare.


#POLYMARKET

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